Today’s weather discussion for the Northeast U.S.

 

The last couple of days, saw a couple of cold fronts move through, bringing rain and higher elevation snow showers as cold air moves in overhead.

Today isn’t as raw as yesterday, but it is still quite chilly, with well below average temperatures. There is an upper-level low overhead along with a few shortwave troughs working through, which is making for a mix of sun and clouds with a few scattered showers and mountain snow showers. Tonight is going to be another cold night. Tomorrow will be similar to today, but the showers should be more isolated.

Thursday high pressure is going to start to nose in. There will be low pressure off the Carolina Coast, but the high pressure should keep that suppressed to our south and east. But it could be close enough for a few showers over Maryland, Delaware and perhaps southern New Jersey. Everywhere else should be dry. Winds could be a bit breezy, especially along the coast. Thursday will also see the start of a warming trend. Friday through Tuesday the high pressure will provide plenty of sun, dry conditions and seasonally mild conditions.

Tropical outlook

We have Invest 94 L out in the Mid Atlantic sitting between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles.  It is moving west to west-northwest and is looking heathy. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has the development odds at 30 and 60 percent the 2- and 7-day periods, respectively. 

The system is experiencing light to moderate wind shear, but it is surrounded by dry air, this should keep any development megger over the next couple of days. But as it gets farther west, conditions will become more favorable for gradual development, as it approaches the Leeward Islands later this week. There is a chance this could try to track toward Florida.  But this track would send it into higher wind shear, making it very difficult for it to become a big issue for the Peninsula.

The blob in the Western Caribbean has a 30% chance for developing. The next names on the list are Nadine and Oscar.