Thanksgiving snow.

 

Today’s Northeast weather discussion…

 

We have a warm front with a trailing cold front moving through, rain/mix associated with the front is pushing west to east, into New England. Winds will become very gusty during the course of the day.

Today temperatures will be mild for this time of year, with clearing skies behind the frontal system, leading to most of us being dry. But for later today into tomorrow, those downwind of Lake Erie and especially Lake Ontario. Off of Lake Erie, a couple of inches will be possible south and east of Buffalo. For those to the east of Lake Ontario, 2-6 inches of snow will be possible for places like the Tug Hill Plateau. Everyone else on Wednesday should have dry weather, perfect for pre-Thanksgiving travel.

Wednesday night and Thursday.

Low pressure will be approaching out of the Midwest, this will bring widespread rain and higher elevation snow. Northern New York and northern New England look have a chance to see some snow/mix. But the farther north you are the less you will see. A couple of inches will be possible in these areas, with the higher elevations seeing a bit more by Friday morning. But for the southern half of New York State, Southern New England and across Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware and New Jersey, heavier rain and some snow is likely. Snow will be elevation dependent. So higher elevations across the twin tiers of Pennsylvania and New York State will see accumulating snowfall, this will be especially true for the Pocono and Catskill Mountains. Those farther south and in the lower elevations would see more in the way of rain and some mix possible. For the higher elevations, this would be a heavy wet snow, with several inches possible. Temperatures will be marginal so snow in the higher elevations could eventually change back to rain. Winds will lag a bit, so the winds shouldn't be too bad during the morning, with winds ramping up during the afternoon, so the balloons look like they will fly.

There is still time for this to change, if the storm is stronger it could trend north.

As the low moves off shore, it will move north and east toward and near the Gulf of Maine. This will allow the rain, mix and snow to more north and east with it. Who sees what will depend on the exact track the departing storm takes.  

Friday, the Weekend into the first half of next week.

Much colder air will come in behind the storm, we will also have a series of troughs move across the region.  coastal rain and interior snow showers will be possible, these would be isolated to scattered in nature. Winds will also be blustery as well. Those downwind of the Great Lakes will be dealing with lake effect snow. This would be a multiday major lake effect event. With the troughs moving through, lake snow bands will be meandering a bit with the wind change. But the snowbelts can expect significant snow, with some measuring snow depth in feet.

End of next week could see yet another storm move through the region. As I said in the Outlook, December could be quite active with lots of snow chances; that does appear to be the pattern that is setting up.