Happy Halloween!

 

Today is going to be super warm, with temperatures well above average. On the surface chart we see the high-pressure overhead, providing most of us with this sunny weather. But there some of y’all seeing some cloudiness. We can also see that strong frontal boundary approaching. This is the same system that brought all that severe weather to the plains yesterday. But the conditions over the Northeast and Middle Atlantic Region, are much less conducive for severe weather, but we will see some wind and rain as it moves through.

The winds are fairly calm this morning, but they will increase as the day goes on, becoming 20-30 mph later this afternoon and tonight. There could be some rain showers and maybe some thunder over western parts of the region this evening, but the bulk of the rain should move in after sunset, say around 8-9 pm for western NYS into northwest PA and 11pm to midnight for most of the rest of western PA. So, most of the trick-or-treaters should stay dry. Outside of the wind the rest of the region should stay dry during the time the ghost and Goblins are doing their thing. With rain moving across New York State and Pennsylvania, after Midnight during the overnight. The rain will make it into New England late tonight into tomorrow morning, with clearing developing by the afternoon. But there still could be a few lingering showers over eastern Maine during the afternoon.

 Behind the front we will turn much cooler, with temperatures becoming seasonal for Friday and the Weekend, it will also be breezy.

We turn much cooler and more seasonable for the end of the week with a chilly breeze, and a few lingering showers on Friday. As, high pressure builds in starting Saturday. Making Sunday the chilliest day of the Weekend. Monday the high pressure starts to push to the east, as a warm front lifts back into the region. Temperatures will warm, but nothing like the increasable warmth we saw yesterday and today. Monday into Tuesday rain will advance southwest to north east across the region. Then on Wednesday a cold front will move through, bringing scattered to isolated rain showers, then high pressure looks to build back in for Thursday.

Drought…

As has been the case over the last several weeks, the bulk of this rain associated with the front will be centered over the Great Lakes into Southeastern Canada. So, the farther south you are the less rain you can expect. Which is bad news for the rainfall deficits.

The U.S. Drought Monitor is showing 1% of the Northeast in exceptional drought, 4% in extreme drought, 7% in severe drought, 18% in moderate drought, and 35% as abnormally dry compared to 1%, 4%, 5%, 14%, and 38%, respectively, last week. I wouldn’t expect any meaningful rain, for the foreseeable future. So these dry and drought conditions will continue and likely worsen.