Wx4cast

 Todays Northeast weather discussion…

Looking at the surface chart we can see yesterday’s coastal low pressure has pulled away, with high pressure in complete control. Today through Tuesday, is going to be mild, with above average temperatures and sunny skies. Mornings will start out a bit crisp, but temperatures will quickly recover turning very mild by the afternoons.  Most of us will be dry, but I can’t rule out a few isolated showers over northern Maine over the weekend, especially on Sunday.

A weak cold front will come through later Wednesday and through Thursday. This will allow for cooler and breezier air to move in for the end of the week, but it won’t be near as cold as we’ve been seeing; the core of the cold will be locked up in Canada. The front won’t have a lot of moisture to work with, so scattered showers are likely, but I don’t see rain amounts being all that impressive. New England could see leftover rain showers Friday morning, as high pressure starts to build in behind the departing front. This should set us up for yet another nice weekend for the end of next week.

 

Longer range…

Looking out over the next 30 days, I don’t see any major pattern changes. So, we can expect to see the current pattern slowly morph its way toward more of a winter and active pattern. So, expect to see generally milder overall conditions with a few bouts of cooler air at times.

I will likely be releasing part one of my winter outlook sometime next week.

 

Tropical Atlantic…

We have two disturbances in the Atlantic Basin

 

Both are going to be impacted by the trough dropping south out of the Conus.

Invest 94L is still there, just north of Puerto Rico, but it’s a shadow of its former self. The NHC has its current 2 day and 7-day development odds at 10% respectfully. I don’t expect this to become anything, due to the increased windshear ahead of it.

 The other disturbance designated Invest 95L is in the Western Caribbean off of Central America. The NHC has its development odds at 50%.  This will, move over the Yucatan into Honduras, Belize and Guatemala within the next 24 hours. From here it will dissipate, so if this is going to become a tropical depression or even a tropical storm, it’s going to have a very short window to do so.   

 

 So, what’s going on with me!...

Many have wondered why I’m not on Facebook anymore. The reason has to do with, people saying I’m using copyrighted material that I’m not entitled to use. The pictures I use comes from mainly public sources. To fix the lock down, Facebook is asking for a lot of information about me, that I don’t think is necessary to run a Facebook group. Facebook is also pressuring me for money. A lot of y’all followed me, and trusted my forecasting and weather education. I felt I was more accurate than most pages, so I don’t understand the problem. I wish I could still post for y’all on Facebook, but I won’t be extorted by FB or anyone. So, until I can find a server to post a new website, the Wx4cast site is how you can follow me.    I most likely won’t be posting every day, but you should check the site once a day to see if I have. You might want to bookmark the Wx4cast site. If I can see a significant increase in daily views, I will be encouraged to post more often. This is an imperfect solution to fix a problem out of my hands, thank you for your patience!  

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