It’s so Bipolar!

 

Today’s Northeast weather discussion…

 

The surface chart shows the cold front moving across the region, with the frontal passage there will be a chance for a few isolated showers, with temperatures slowly falling. We will see another cold front come through late tonight and tomorrow, this will be very moisture starved so isolated rain showers and higher elevation snow showers are all that is expected. But behind the front westerly winds will turn northwesterly, which will bring in cooler temperatures, Friday is going to be very breezy with gust of 25-35 mph possible.

High pressure approaching the region will keep us coolish and dry through Saturday.  A cold frontal warm frontal system moves back through on Sunday and Monday bringing back the chance for scattered rain showers.

The high pressure will sit overhead for Monday through Wednesday, keeping things mainly dry with temperatures near seasonal. Then for Thursday a cold front will come through bringing back rain chances.    

 

Rafael

He hit Cuba as a Category 3, with Max sustained winds of 115 mph. He is now in the southeast Gulf, currently he is a Category 2 hurricane, with sustained winds of 100 mph, central pressure at 971 mb, tracking west-northwest at 9 mph.

He should stay away from the northern Gulf Coast, eventually tracking west out over the Central Gulf. Wind shear is moderate, but there is dry air that should weaken him gradually over the next few days. A system coming in from the west should slow him down before he makes a turn to the southwest.