10/03/2025

 The next few days are going to be fantastic!

High pressure is in control providing plenty of sun and light and variable winds. Temperatures today are warmer than they were yesterday. 

The jet stream is well to our north So the pattern over the CONUS is fairly stagnant. This will keep our weather dry and quiet for the next four days or so. The infrared satellite shows there's basically nothing going on over the eastern 2⁄3 of the United States.

Tomorrow will continue to be tranquil as the high pressure starts to drift further east an increasing southwest flow will allow temperatures to become quite mild for this time of year. Sunday will be more of the same with temperatures warming up even more. So if you want to enjoy the nice weather I would advise you to get outside and spend some time there.

Monday is going to see a breezy southwest flow driving in even warmer temperatures And humidity. Monday is looking dry for the entire region. Then for Tuesday We will have a frontal system approaching This will allow clouds to start increasing west to east across the region. Winds on Tuesday are still going to be breezy Keeping us quite warm and feeling a bit muggy. Rain showers will start to move into western parts of the region later in the morning. The rain will continue to move west to east across Pennsylvania and New York state during the afternoon into the evening. The actual cold front Will move through Very late Tuesday and through Wednesday. Keeping things breezy and bringing a better chance for widespread scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms to the region. Wednesday we'll see clearing develop west to east across the region. With most of the precipitation ending Wednesday night across eastern parts of our region. High pressure is gonna move in overhead for Thursday and Friday temperatures will be rather cool once again.

Tropics

We had a couple post tropical cyclones In the north Atlantic. But those are gone, We do have a couple of areas that the national hurricane center is interested in The 1st is the disturbance near the Bahamas. The NHC is giving this 2 day and 7 day chances for development of 10%. Then we have that area that just came off the West Coast of Africa. The NHC is giving this a 50% chance of developing over the next 7 days.

We are now in the second half of the hurricane season moving past the peak. The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic will have to be watched as there's a chance it could approach and get into the Caribbean by next weekend around October 11th. The conditions aren't  all that favorable right now. But the Madden Julian Oscillation is going to be moving into a more favorable phase by the middle of next week.  So slow and gradual development is possible as this works its way across the Atlantic.

The disturbance closer to home, Is dealing with a lot of wind shear So this doesn't have much of a chance of developing. But it will be a big  rainfall maker for southern and eastern Florida over the weekend.

Have a great weekend!