The heat returns Monday.

 

A quick post on the week ahead!

Surface chart and radar and satellite.

 

 

For the vast majority of us, it has been a beautiful weekend so far. Today is going to be mostly dry. High pressure pushes the rain to our south. Today we can enjoy less humid air. We have that stalled frontal boundary to our south.  Looking at the radar we can see isolated showers over parts of the Middle Atlantic. Some of these could make it into Maryland and Delaware. So, DC could see a rogue showers, but the best chance for any rain will be across the Shenandoah Valley.

We have a huge high-pressure ridge building out west. As we move through this week this is going to move into the upper Midwest and the Great Lakes. This heat dome is going to trap a lot of heat under it, from the Rockies into the Plains and Midwest.  The Northeast and Middle Atlantic Region will be on the periphery of this heat dome. But we’re still going to start to warm tomorrow as it gets closer to our region.  As a whole this week, won’t feature many chances for rain. But that doesn’t mean it will be completely dry for everyone.

The dome is going to try and continue to push east through Friday. But we’re going to have low pressure setting up over the Canadian Maritimes; this is going to start to build into the Northeast on Tuesday. So, Tuesday will likely be the peak of the heat and humidity in the northern parts of the region.  As the backdoor cold front approaches, some showers and thunderstorms will build out ahead of it. This will bring the risk for some strong to severe storms for northern New York State and across northern New England. The timing looks to be late afternoon and into Tuesday night.  The trough will drop down across northern New England and Northern New York State on Wednesday. Winds will become quite gusty, with gust upwards of 35 mph possible. As the trough continues to drop through New York State and New England dew point will start to drop.  The southern half of the region will see their warmest and most humid day on Wednesday. But then the heat will start to back off or Thursday, as dewpoints and temperatures start to fall. As the first in a series of cold fronts move across the region.  These cold fronts will be fairly weak, but they will bring the chance for scattered clouds and scattered thunderstorms for Thursday and Friday especially across southern parts of our region.

The trough will hang around the region over the weekend, with variable clouds and isolated showers

Next week, we’re going to have that cooler air that’s up in Canada, drop down into our region. This is going to allow the Great Lakes and our region to stay generally cool with seasonal to below average temperatures and lower humidity.