Let the rollercoaster begin!

 Today is the last day of meteorological winter And tomorrow will mark the 1st day of meteorological spring. Today is quite mild across the entire region.

But it's going to be short lived As we have that system in Canada That's starting to drag a cold front into the region.

Along with the cold front We will see snow showers next and rain showers move through the region

Courtesy tropical tidbits

Those who see the snow in New York state into new England Look to see snowfall accumulations over dusting to 2 maybe 3 inches. Behind the cold front, strong high pressure is gonna build in overhead with colder air  moving back into the region, allowing temperatures to be 15-25 °F cooler than they are today.

That strong high pressure is going to suppress our next storm system to the south. 

Courtesy tropical tidbits

SEE a the Canadian high starts to shift out of here We are going to have cold air trap near the surface east of the Appalachians. That weak low  pressure moving In from our west looks be suppressed even further south than I originally thought. Most of the impacts are going to be south of the mason Dixon line. But there could be a little bit of snow/mix of a dusting to less than an inch south of Pittsburgh. Areas along and north Of interstate 64Will likely be dealing with some snow mix While area south of interstate 64 look to end up seeing more in the way of just rain.  For West Virginia Virginia into Maryland Delaware and southern New Jersey There will likely be a bit of snow on the front end, a dusting to an inch perhaps 2 in spots will be possible, This won't be especially true in the higher elevations. But any snow is going to change over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain. I don't think ice accumulations are going to be a lot. But it doesn't take a lot of ice to cause problems. Eventually everything will change over to rain. 

On Tuesday We're gonna have another storm That's going to push Much further north with the Snow mix rain. But I wanna keep this post shorter. So I will go into detail on that 

stratospheric warming

 

This is going to lead wild swings in the pattern. 

As the cold air to our north gets disrupted and moves south into North America it's going to lead to severe weather outbreaks. And very likely allow stronger mid latitude cyclones to form and develop. A mid latitude cyclone is just a large-scale low pressure systems that are associated with warm and cold fronts that we experience. With the possible injection Of more cold air Pushing to the south And that southern air trying to push north it's going to set up a battleground. Storms always form along boundaries. The setup is such that some of these storms could be fairly powerful. This week we're gonna see temperature swing up and down. Then behind that Tuesday event We are going Warmer temperatures move in. As this progresses We are going to see very mild temperatures starting next weekend into the following week. This is going to cause many to experience spring fever. As the polar vortex split evolves all y'all gonna see the cold air that's gonna be in the western part of North America shift east, moving into our region. This will likely occur after the middle of the month. Even though temperatures will be overall below average to well below average for this time of year It won't be that type of January cold that we've seen. But it's not going to be till spring like warm temperatures neither. We're going into that volatile season called spring where we see wild swings in temperature and sometimes large winter type storm event that move through our region. All of that is still on the table as we move through March and into April.