The nor’easter
is living up to the forecast.
Strengthening High pressure over Maritime Canada is going to force the nor’easter to turn toward the coast, but I’ve been talking about all of this since last weekend, so this shouldn’t be a big surprise. While the exact path will determine where the greatest storm surge, strongest winds and heaviest rain occur. Conditions could worsen this afternoon into tonight across southern New England down into New Jersey and Delaware as the nor'easter batters that part of the region with heavy rain, high winds and tidal flooding. As this makes that left turn toward New Jersey, it is going to slow and could even stall, it’s likely the storm will come ashore in New Jersey somewhere near Toms River. From there the storm will start to weaken during the day on Sunday. While the coastal areas will continue to see impact, the worst of the storm will be behind us. Monday into Tuesday the storm will pull back tracking north and east and out to sea.
General rainfall totals of 1-4 inches look to be the case from the Delmarva Peninsula to southern Maine. Those in coastal New Jersey, southeastern New York and southern New England can expect 4+ inches when things are said and done, I won’t be surprised if a few spots end up with 8-10+ inches.
Rainfall
will continue in waves as bands of rain heavy at times move through the region.
Due to the slow movement of these storms, even though it will be starting to
weaken tomorrow, we can expect to see bouts of heavy rain continue to rotate
into the same areas through Sunday and into Monday. This will bring more risk for flash flooding
in low-lying and poor-drainage areas, as well as increase the ongoing coastal
flooding concerns.
For today
into tonight wind gusts on the coast look to be generally in the 40-60mph
range, (gust could approach hurricane force for some) while gusts farther inland will largely be in the 30- 40mph. those of y’all
in New York State and Pennsylvania and northern New England will be dealing
with winds of 10-25mph. But the seacoast of Maine and New Hampshire could be
seeing gusts of 35-40 mph.
Already peak wind gusts across Cape Cod, Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket have been 60-65mph. Storm surge of 4 feet has been impacting the coast of the mid-Atlantic and southern New England this morning. The saturated ground and intense winds have led to 10’s of thousands of power outages due to downed trees and powerlines
Stay safe!
