Surface
chart and Radar
Today
High
pressure is slowly exiting the region as we have a weakening frontal system
approaching the region. Temperatures will be around seasonal today, with
humidity not feeling too bad. On the surface chart and radar, we can see the
leading warm front lifting into the region, scattered showers and some
thunderstorms will accompany the front This looks to reach eastern New York
State Mid to late afternoon. Then into
western New England, eastern Pennsylvania and the Middle Atlantic this evening. At first this will start as isolated showers
west to east, then it will become widespread ahead of the cold front.
The Storm
Prediction Center (SPC) has placed a Marginal Risk for severe weather for
Severe weather over western into central Pennsylvania and New York State. The
main risk will include damaging winds, heavy downpours, and hail. The tornado risk
is low but can't be ruled out.
Friday
This is
going to continue into New England during the overnight into Friday. Keeping
the threat for showers and thunderstorms mainly across eastern New York State
and New England. But across eastern
Pennsylvania and the Mid-Atlantic showers could linger into Friday morning.
The SPC has part
of eastern New York State and central into southern New England at Marginal
Risk for severe weather. The main risk will include damaging winds, heavy
downpours, and hail. The risk for a tornado is very low.
That area of
low pressure up over the Great Lakes is going to move east over New England.
This is going to lead to the cold front stalling out. As high pressure builds into the region. The high pressure will help block the rain and
storms to the southern part of the region. for Friday night.
The
Weekend
Along that
frontal boundary we’re going to have an area of low pressure moving across it.
This should keep most of the rain and storms associated with it down over
Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, around New York City into Long
Island and the Cape. If high pressure
sets up a little farther north the rain could move north a bit. would budge just a tiny bit, it may increase
the rain chances down the Cape on Saturday. Most of the rest of the region
should be mainly dry. But far northern New York State northern Vermont, northern
New Hampshire and Maine, will be dealing with a few weak disturbances keeping
the threat for a few showers and thunderstorms in the picture for Saturday and
Sunday. Those away from that southern boundary won’t see it rain all the time,
and not everyone will see these showers. So those graduation parties should stay
aware for an isolated chance for a stray shower or thunderstorm. The best
chance for more in the way of widespread rain will be across Pennsylvania, New
Jersey and points south. The weekend will see temperatures slowly getting
warmer each day.
Next Week
High
pressure sets up for Monday bringing mostly dry weather and scattered clouds. The
warming trend will continue is that high pressure ridge sets up over the
Midwest. On Tuesday the high pressure will start to shift east, this will allow
for a southwest flow, directing heat and humidity in from the Midwest and
Tennessee Valley. The heat and humidity will be in force for Tuesday and
Wednesday of next week. with highs near 90 and higher humidity to go along with
it, isolated shower and storm chances will be around for both days. On Thursday
the warm front will be pushing north, how far that warm front gets will determine
temperatures across the region, heat and humidity will be oppressive south and west
of the front, while those north and east of the front will be cooler.
Have a great
day. And remember to share this group with your friends!
