Due to lack of apparent interest, I’m scaling back on the amount of data I post. It personally makes no sense to continue with all the work it takes to provide detailed information all the time. I’ve been talking in a lot of detail on the current El Nino pattern, so all y’all should have a good grasp on all of that. When conditions warrant, I will provide more in the way of detailed information. Anyway, lets briefly talk about the next few days.
We’ve been
stuck in a slow-moving weather pattern, keeping our region very mild and dry
for the last few weeks. But that is about to change, as the pattern shifts into
what I’ve been talking about for quite some time.
We still have
high pressure in control, but that is off the coast, allowing for southern
winds, bringing in near record-to-record heat. There isn’t much going on along
the eastern seaboard other than some scattered clouds.
Looking at
the surface cart, radar, and satellite we can see that storm system to our
west. The upper-level low out over the Midwest will move over the Great Lakes
and track into Canada, allowing the storms leading warm front will push in
today, with increasing clouds this afternoon and evening, rain will be approaching
and moving into western parts of the region tonight. This rain will advance from
west to east during the overnight into the morning hours of Thursday. Then the slowing
cold front will move through with more rain and perhaps some thunderstorms. This
front is going to end up stalling Thursday night into Friday. This will result
in rounds of scattered showers closer to the coastal plain. Behind the front
temperatures will cool back down closer to seasonal, and it should be drier
with the chance for isolated rain showers. The exact position of the frontal
boundary will determine who sees the heaviest rain. Saturday the upper-level low will swing
through, with isolated showers. Then on Sunday high pressure moves back in,
with generally dry conditions. Monday and Tuesday we will be dealing with a
cold front, bringing some rain showers and the decent chance for higher
elevation snow flakes and a bit of mountain snow, this will be especially true
for the Adirondacks, Greens and Whites. Behind this high pressure will briefly
setup overhead, but another weak cold front will swing through for Wednesday
into Thursday.
Over the
next few days general rainfall amounts of 0.50-1.0 inches will be likely, but
those who see the heavier downpours could see higher amounts locally, perhaps
as much as 3 inches. This could end up with some localized flooding issues.
