Looking at
the surface chart and radar
We can see
the frontal system heading toward the Saint Lawrance Valley, with the warm
front lifting through and the trailing cold front over the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley. This is going to make for an instable atmosphere with rounds of showers
and thunderstorms. The radar shows the line moving across New York State. This afternoon
some of these storms can be strong-to-severe, with damaging winds, torrential
downpours that can lead to flash flooding, hail and frequent lightning. There
is a risk for a few isolated tornadoes as well.
Ahead of the
cold front winds will be quite gusty with gusts of 40-50 mph. This could lead to sporadic
power outages due to downed trees and power lines. Some of the thunderstorms could produce gust
of 60-70 mph.
Arthur
On Wednesday
afternoon the wide center of disorganized Tropical Storm Arthur officially made
landfall just northeast of Matagorda Bay, southeastern Texas, and is expected
to move further inland. It will continue to weaken as it moves inland into
parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and the Florida Panhandle,
while still dumping heavy rain,
Tornado
Watch Number 352
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 352
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1000 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western Massachusetts
Central and Eastern New York
Vermont
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1000 AM
until 300 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
SUMMARY...A line of fast-moving thunderstorms will sweep eastward
across the watch area through the early afternoon, posing a risk of
damaging winds and a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Elmira NY to 25
miles east of Montpelier VT. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 349...WW 350...WW 351...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.
...Hart
