This week won't be a wash-out but it will be wet.

 Welcome to the first week of August. 

 

We have low pressure centered over the US/Canadian Border, with a warm front stretched across northern New England and a stationary frontal boundary over New York State and Pennsylvania, this boundary is going to slowly move eastward today as a cold front.  Radar shows scattered showers and isolated storms out ahead of and around the frontal boundary.

A few of these storms could become strong to severe. With strong gusty winds and heavy downpours. The tornado risk is low but not zero. The SPC has a Marginal Risk over part of New England down into New Jersey. training storms could lead to flooding.

 

Behind the front skies will clear west to east, with rain ending later this afternoon and evening, but over northern Maine, a few showers may linger into Tuesday morning. As the front pushes east, high pressure is going to build in tonight and tomorrow.  Tomorrow will feature lots of sunshine and mostly dry conditions with comfortable dewpoints.  Tuesday night into early Wednesday clouds will be increasing ahead of a warm front.

Across northern New York State and northern Wednesday, it looks to remain mainly rain free with plenty of sunshine. As that warm front continues to lift north, scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected across Pennsylvania into the Middle Atlantic. That warm front will mean heat and humidity returns, those dewpoints are going to make it feel muggy. Some of these showers and storms could make it into the southern tier of New York state and perhaps southern New England by Wednesday evening.  Over the 2^nd half of this week, heat and humidity will make it feel like the Dog Days of Summer.

For Thursday and Friday, another slow-moving cold front will be approaching and moving thorough This will bring more in the way of isolated to scattered showers and storms for the last half of the week.  On Thursday some of these storms could become severe, with damaging winds, heavy downpours and frequent lightning. The storm system will be close enough over the weekend, that we will have chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms each day, mostly during the afternoon into evening hours.