Monday was a very busy severe weather day.
There were
dozens of damage reports.
The National
Weather Service office in Binghamton confirmed the tornado in Pittsfield was an
EF-1 tornado with an estimated peak wind of 105 mph, track of just over 8 miles, with a
maximum path width of 300 yards.
The National
Weather Service Buffalo confirms a tornado touched down in Lewis County on
Tuesday. They say an EF-1 tornado with wind speeds of 95 to 105 miles per hour
caused damage at around 2 p.m. between Castorland and Croghan. The tornado
traveled about three-quarters of a mile.
There were
also two confirmed Microburst in Lewis County.
One was in the town of Denmark, at around 2 p.m. The other was in
Glenfield. Both had winds estimated at 95 to 105 miles per hour.
Yesterday
was also a very busy severe day, again with dozens of damage reports across New
York State and New England. Several areas were severely damaged. I haven’t
heard of any tornadoes or microburst, but that very well could change.
Today the
heat dome is going to expand even more. This should allow those MCSs and
Clusters of storms to end up farther north across far northern New York State
into northern New England. This is where
the NWS has a Marginal Risk for severe Storms.
Image curtesy of Pivotal Weather
As has been the case, those under the dome are going to have more of a cap due to the hot air at the surface as well as aloft. This will make it much harder for thunderstorms to form under the dome, so thunderstorms here, will be isolated.
Images
curtesy of Tropical Tidbits
With the dangerous heat and humidity, remember your hot weather safety rules and stay safe.
On the Surface Chart we can see that strong high is still parked over the East Coast, with a trough extending from the Carolinas up through eastern New England. This could be the focus for some thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Radar is showing nothing going on over the region. Given the conditions, any thunderstorms that form along the trough will be isolated. We will have to keep an eye on those MCSs in the Midwest. These could rotate in later today into the overnight. Any storms that due pop up around the region, could become severe very quickly, the danger will be strong downburst and straight-line winds, tropical downpours, hail and vivid frequent lightning. The tornado risk is low but not zero.
The region
is going to be under the Extreme Heat Warmings and Heat Advisories for the next
couple of days, then these will slowly drop over the weekend, north to south.
Tomorrow a
cold front is going to be approaching from Canada, as the high-pressure ridge continues
to slowly push south and west. Temperatures and Humidity will be slightly lower
over northern New York State into northern and central New England. This setup
will increase the risk for thunderstorms complexes on the edge of the ridge as
it drops south.
A better
chance for showers and thunderstorms for Southern New York State, Pennsylvania,
and the northern Middle Atlantic through the day on Saturday. Some of these could
linger for the 4th of July fireworks displays. These storms will be scattered and not
everyone gets to see them.
Images curtesy of Pivotal Weather
Sunday is going to have an area of low pressure sitting over the Ohio Valley along with a back door cold front dropping down out of New England. Between these two there will be the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms.
The northern
Middle Atlantic into Pennsylvania will see an increased chance for showers and
thunderstorms later Sunday into Monday as the cold front move through the
region. The slow-moving cold front drops to our south on Tuesday, likely
breaking the heat wave, for the entire region. Things will be cooler through
the middle and end of next week.
I’ve been
trying to post something every day, which is difficult due to taking care of
the horses in the high heat, but I do hope you’re getting something out of them.
Have a safe
day!
