We've been busy getting ready for winter and getting hay in. So, the post have been later than I would like.
This is going to be a long duration coastal storm….
Surface
Chart, Radar and Satellite
We’re watching
low pressure develop off the East Coast, with strong high pressure in place
over eastern Canada.
Water has been piling up in the Chesapeake Bay and along the Jersey Shore. These areas are already dealing with tidal flooding. In addition, dangerous rip currents are impacting the Jersey shore. This is ahead of the impact of the nor'easter.
As it
develops it will become cut off from the jet stream and meander around as it slowly
moves up the east coast. So, we’re going to see rounds of rain develop Friday afternoon from North Carolina
to Cape Cod, Massachusetts. The rain will become steady, at times heavy, and these
northeast winds will prevail through the weekend continuing to pile up the
water.
Wind gusts
run 30-60mph, with a chance for localized wind gust approaching hurricane force
at the coast, especially across Southeast Massachusetts. With leaves on the
trees the risk for tree damage and scattered power
outages increases.
Saturday
through Monday, windy rain showers will be off and on from New Jersey to Maine.
The storm looks to loop toward New England, So the strongest winds and heaviest rain look to stay away from New York City down into the Middle Atlantic. But this means, the strongest impacts look to occur Friday night through Saturday night along Rhode Island, central and eastern Massachusetts, eastern Connecticut, southeastern New Hampshire and the southern Maine coast.
Rain totals
could reach 2-to-4 inches from New Jersey to southern Maine. Higher totals of
4-to-6 inches could impact Boston, Cape and offshore islands, Rhode Island
Southeast Connecticut and Long Island, New York. Rain totals of 6+ inches are
possible especially from central Massachusetts to Cape Cod, Nantucket and
Martha’s Vineyard.
Waves of
10-15 feet are likely from North Carolina's Outer Banks to the New Jersey shore
through Saturday. Then from Friday to
Sunday, huge waves of 15 to 20 feet are possible from Massachusetts to
Maine.
Improvement is
instore for the mid-Atlantic this weekend, with things improving by Monday for
New England.
Given that
the nor'easter will be slowly moving and sitting over the very warm water of
the Gulf Stream for two or three days, the storm could become subtropical. But
regardless of classification, the storms impact for coastal areas will be the
same.
The biggest
impacts from this nor’easter will be over eastern New England Friday through
Sunday, some rain and wind will make it into western New England… northern and
central Vermont (including the Champlain Valley), much of New Hampshire, central
Maine into eastern New York State during the day on Saturday. Generally, rainfall
looks to be around 1-2 inches of rainfall, with gust of 20-40 mph. rain showers will make it as far west as
Central New York into northern Vermont, far northern New Hampshire and northern
Maine over the weekend. Rainfall totals look to be 0.25- 1.0 inches with wind
gust of 10-20 mph.
Showers and
breezy conditions will linger across Southeast and eastern New England Monday before things
begin to improve for by Tuesday and Wednesday.
