After a nice start, Northeast to end up rainy, chilly later this week
For the last few weeks, I’ve been warning all y’all about the roller coaster weather pattern, with wild temperature swings, that was going to encompass the Northeast and northern Middle Atlantic. This overall pattern looks to last for the rest of April into the first or second week of May.
Surface
Chart and Radar
On the surface chart and radar, we can see rain showers and some thunderstorms that moved out of the Ohio Valley and into western parts of our region, ahead of a cold front. Ahead of the cold front winds will become quite gusty with gust of around 30 mph possible. The cold front is going to weaken as it moves across western Pennsylvania and western New York State. There is a chance for a few thunderstorms across western parts of our region. As the rain approaches Central Pennsylvania and Central New York State the rain will lessen and dry up as it continues to move eastward. Across the central parts of the region, we could see a sprinkles and showers for eastern half of northern New York State, the Mohawk Valley, Adirondacks, Catskills and across Central Pennsylvania during the afternoon into late afternoon. As it continues to push east, it could produce a couple of spotty rain showers later Tuesday afternoon or early Tuesday evening, but most should remain dry.
Wednesday
Another
system close on the heels of the first one, will move through. This will
accompany the general prolonged rainy and chilly pattern for midweek into the
coming weekend. For Wednesday we will see more in the way of widespread and
steadier rain. We’re going to see low
pressure develop along the front to our south and pass north and east through
the region. Rain with downpours
will be working into western parts of the region mid-morning into the early
afternoon. The rain will likely be
moving into eastern Pennsylvania, eastern New York State late afternoon into
the early evening. Then it will move into New England Wednesday night. General
rainfall amounts of 3/4" to 1" are likely but some of y’all could see
a bit less, while others see a bit more. There will be a chance for
thunderstorms over parts of the region. Some of these could be strong too severe
across southern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, Maryland and Delaware.
The wet weather is needed as parts of the region are dealing with some ongoing drought
Behind our Wednesday
system we will see rain, cooler and breezier conditions settle in for the end
of the work. As low pressure in Canada supports deep troughing across our
region. Right now, for the second half of Thursday it looks to be much drier, but
a bit unsettled, with a few spotty shower showers possible, For Friday, it will
be chilly and will remain unsettled with the chance of scattered showers. The
weekend is looking quite cool for this time of year. The weekend is going to
continue to be unsettled. Thursday and
through the weekend, mixing could be possible, with a chance for snow showers
especially in the higher elevations above 2000’.
I encourage y’all to read part 2 of my hurricane outlook.
Have a great
rest of your day.
