Surface chart and radar
We have that front boundary just to our north. With a small area of precipitation over our southern areas. But most of this is not reaching the ground. Do you have a snow and rain showers up over the Great Lakes that are associated with a system that will come through on Thursday into Friday
The skies are a mix of sun and clouds for most of the region. But we do have sun over western into central New York. As a frontal system slowly approaches Clouds will be increasing as they drop south and east across the region. light rain and snow showers will be dropping south and east into New York State this evening, then moving into northern New England later tonight and during the overnight. Many will see mainly rain with some mix, but the higher elevations will likely see some snow, With light accumulations possible.
Tomorrow a warm front will be lifting into the region allowing above average temperatures to work in. A few rain showers and higher elevation mix snow showers will be possible with the frontal passage. Any lingering storms mix showers should change over to all rain by Thursday morning. Then later in the afternoon into tomorrow night The trailing cold front will approach and start moving across the region. The front will be slowly dropping south and east. With the cold front We will see a line of Rain showers and thunderstorms. Some of these thunderstorms could be strong to severe This will be especially true over western New York State and western Pennsylvania. Currently the storm prediction center has a Marginal Risk for severe storms over this area. There will be an isolated risk for some damaging winds and hail, The tornado risk is very low But as always it's not zero. General rainfall amounts will likely be 1⁄4 inch to an inch. Expect moderate downpours at times. There will be some risk for flooding over western parts of the region. Rain will likely change over to a bit of snow over Northern New York State and northern New England. General accumulations look to be a dusting to an inch. But the higher elevations could see 2 to maybe 3 inches by Friday morning.
For Friday behind the cold front temperatures are once again going to become below average for this time of year. By Saturday morning The cold front will have pushed out of the region. A weak disturbance will be passing through on Saturday bringing the chance for some snow showers across northern parts of the region. But the southern half of the region likely see just sunshine. The unsettled conditions will continue over northern parts of the region on Sunday, With the southern parts of the region staying generally sunny. Sunday will still be seasonally chilly. But we'll see temperatures trying to modify a bit. But any warming in the temperatures will end on Monday as another cold front slides through the region bringing snow showers and rain showers back into the picture. On Tuesday the cold front will have slid out of the region as we see high pressure briefly build in. Then on Wednesday, another frontal system will approach pushing the high pressure away. It will have a leading warm front that will bring back the chance rain. That will be heavier at times, along with a chance for a mix and snow over New York State into northern and central New England. The frozen precipitation will be on the northern edge of the boundary. As temperatures warm any snow mix showers will change over to rain as that warmer air advances. Maine will hang on to the cold air the longest. There could be some ice accretion in those higher elevations Especially in the northern Greens. with some accumulating snow across northern parts of the region is likely, especially in those higher elevations. The trailing cold front will slide through Wednesday night into Thursday once again bringing the below average temperatures, along rain and snow showers.
