Just to reiterate What I talked about yesterday Here is a look at the temperature profiles For the last 30 days and the weekend across Continental US.
As expected today started out very cold. But temperatures did becoming much milder than they have been. Although they are still well below average for this time of year. With the high pressure overhead the region did see a lot of sun.
This warming trend is going to continue tomorrow and we'll see temperatures Become much more seasonal. This will be due to a system approaching the great lakes with a leading warm front moving across the region. Ahead of the front We could see a few snow showers or flurries. Northern parts of the region Have a chance at seeing 1-3 " of general snow out of this. There is a chance that things across southern half Of New York state And southern half of new England could start off as a bit of snow Before changing over to a bit of a mix. Across Pennsylvania into the northern middle Atlantic There could be a few rain showers. But none of this is going to amount to much.
The cold front will come through on Wednesday Bringing with it a chance for scattered snow showers and some flurries with limited light accumulations are possible for most, This would be a general dusting to perhaps 3". With the Adirondacks and parts of northern New York into the greens and Whites could see 4 to possibly 6 inches. Down around down east main also could see 2-5 " of snow. We will likely see a bit of lake effect snow start up downwind of lake Ontario It could bring some accumulating snow A general 1-3 " of lake snow will be possible But There could be some localized slightly higher amounts.
Colder air is going to work in behind the cold front cooling us back to slightly below to below average levels Starting Thursday. From friday into Saturday We are going to see high pressure approach And move across our southern areas. With the high pressure generally to our south and east we will end up seeing a southern flow Come into the region. So So this won't be an article break it will be slightly colder than average But it's going to keep this from being a major widespread snowstorm for around Valentine's Day into Sunday.
Saturday into Sunday we should see low pressure drop in out of the great lakes This low pressure will then move south and east and likely move off the middle Atlantic coast.
If the storm forms And yes there's a chance it doesn't but if it does It won't bring widespread snow like you might be hearing on social media But it will bring A little bit of snow and some mix and possibly southern parts of region seeing just rain. As the warm air Infiltrates further north, Areas that see snow and or mix could see some of this change over to rain. How far north that warm air can infiltrate is unclear at this time. The storm will be pulling away on Monday with some Precipitation continuing over parts of northeast New England. Northern parts of New York State and northern New England Will have the best chance of seeing mostly or all snow out of this. The exact track of this will determine who gets the snow, ice or the rain .
I encourage you to read Sunday's post as it goes into a lot of detail I want looks to occur over the next several months.