Well, it was quite the weekend. Much of the region was unsettled. But it was a widespread soaking rain for a large part of New England, including some accumulating snow in the higher terrain with cool and breezy conditions. There was even a meteor thrown in with a sonic boom and shockwave. Here's a link to a short write up I did on the meteor.
Yes, today
marks the first day of Meteorological Summer. But the pattern is going to keep
the summer heat at bay. We’re going to see a gradual change this week, as we
turn milder. The warmup is due to the weekend
nor’easter pulling away as the current Omega Block breaks down.
Current
surface chart and radar
On the
surface chart we can see a couple of stationary fronts, with that upper-level
low pressure to the east of Cape Cod. For the most part today will be fairly
quiet, with a mix of sun and clouds with the chance for isolated rain showers
here and there.
We’re going
to continue to deal with a weakening trough, that is going to keep temperatures
a bit cooler than average for Monday and Tuesday. Due to the trough, there is
the chance for a few isolated rain showers, but most of y’all won’t see them.
Any showers should be very quick and won’t last very long.
The week ahead will see a pattern change and later in the week temperatures the trough will break down, with high pressure building in for Wednesday and it will become much milder, with temperatures in the Upper 70° F into the lower 90° F from north to south for Friday into Saturday. Then we look to cool off a bit for the weekend. Little to no rain is in the forecast for the next 5 days. This is reflected on, the Weather Predictive Center (WPC) Quantitative Precipitation Forecast.
Then on Friday we’re going to have a frontal boundary approach from the north and west. This will likely bring some rain into northern New York State and northern New England for Friday night. As the high pressure moves offshore, that southwest flow will allow us to warm up a bit more, along with an increase in humidity. Then this boundary looks to slowly drop south and east on Saturday. Allowing the rain and isolated thunderstorms to move farther into New York State and New England. This will continue for Sunday as the rain along with scattered thunderstorms, some of these could be strong to severe, continues to advance across the rest of New York State and central and southern New England. It’s possible the rain could make it into part of northern Pennsylvania. Then for Sunday night through Monday the frontal boundary looks to continue inching south and east across Pennsylvania into New Jersey, Delaware and Maryland. Here’s a look at the Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for the weekend into next week.
This timeline will depend on how quick the
boundary ends up moving. If it’s slower or faster than I think, then the
timeframe of the rain will change with it.
Next week we will see milder air move back in overhead for Tuesday into Wednesday. For Thursday and Friday, we look to see another Omega Block develop with ridging developing over the Central US into Canada. When that happens it will once again, allow colder air to invade the Northeast again. As this see-saw ride continues through the first part of June.
Enjoy your day!
