Pattern turns active again!

 

I hope all y’all got outside to enjoy the nice day yesterday, because the next few days are going to be unsettled and wet.

We have a warm front lifting north through the region, as an area of low pressure slides in from the west

It will be seasonally cool and a bit breezy.

As the cold front slowly pushes into the region, we will see widespread rain showers and will feature of couple line of thunderstorms, some of these storms will be strong to severe This will be especially true across western Maryland, western and central Pennsylvania along with western and central New York State. The most likely time for these storms looks to from midafternoon through late evening.

The main hazard will be localized damaging wind gusts. Wind gust of upwards of 60-70 mph will be possible in some of these storms. Moderate to heavy rainfall and pea to marble-sized hail will also be possible.

Here is a look at the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Convective Outlook for today. 

As the cold front continues to push east this evening, with rounds of showers, brief moderate to heavy rain, and a few thunderstorms. By this time later in the evening into Wednesday overnight storms are not expected to be severe, but isolated strong thunderstorms are still going to be possible.

For Thursday and Friday, as our low pressure basically sits and spins along with the slow moving cold front shifts east toward New England, rain will move into eastern New York State, middle Atlantic and New England, this will be especially true for the mid and southern Hudson Valley, southern New England into the northeastern Middle Atlantic. For New England into New Jersey Thursday will be quite wet with on-and-off rounds of rain throughout the day, rain will be moderate to heavy at times, rain will continue into Thursday night.

 

All of this is going to slowly start to push away Friday morning. High pressure will build in and will be sitting overhead Friday night into Saturday, generally this will provide dry weather with plenty of sun, allowing us to start to warm up. Sunday will be even warmer, but as the high starts to shift east, a trough will be overhead providing the chance for some isolated rain showers.

The warming trend will continue into the first part of next week with a warm front moving through on Monday and Tuesday allowing temperatures to become well above average, along with the humidity creeping in as well along with the chance for showers and thunderstorms. Monday should be mostly dry, but a few rain showers will be possible. Tuesday is going to be even hotter.  A cold front will be slowly approaching for Tuesday into Wednesday some of the thunderstorms could be strong too severe as a cold front pushing into the region.