A warming trend is on the way!
Sunday was cold and breezy. Today the cold is going to continue with clouds increasing as we go through the day.
Surface chart and radar
We're going to have a weak clipper with a couple of shortwave troughs drop out of Canada, then move over the lower Great Lakes as it drops south and east. The clipper is getting a little boost from being over the great lakes. But as it gets away from the lakes It is going to become weaker and much less defined. So away from the great lakes this is just going to bring some scattered snow showers that will be capable of dropping a trace to maybe an inch across parts of the region. We will see winds picking up to 10-20 miles an hour with higher gust possible. This is going to be a fast moving system, So it's impacts won't be too bad!
The cold air moving across the still relatively warm great lakes is going to kick off lake effect snow downwind of lakes Erie and Ontario. This lake effect should be weakening as we get into this evening and tonight. Winter weather advisories are up for those downwind of lake Erie . With lake effect snow warnings up for those east of lake Ontario.
Tuesday is looking like it's going to be dry with temperatures starting to moderate. Most of the region should be dry with lake effect often lake continuing to push north weakening and dissipate
Wednesday we're going to see temperatures continue to warm as high pressure starts to exit the region. Allowing temperatures to become fairly seasonal for this time of year. We are going to be having a system moving east up in Canada. What outside of a chance for Some light snow showers and flurries it shouldn't amount to much. With the warming temperatures We should have some snow melt that could lead to some fog.
Thursday we're going to be having Strong Low pressure up over the great lakes along with a cold front approach. Out ahead of this cold front, a stiff southwest flow is going to continue to pump up our temperatures. We're going to see widespread rain approach ahead of the front moving west to east late afternoon into Friday. Rain could be locally heavy at times. General rainfall amount look to be around 0.5 of an inch to an inch. The warm temperatures and rain is going to chew up some of the snow. Snow will melt and if you have 5 inches or less there is a chance that you could lose most or all of it. With the snow melt fog will again be an issue. I'm not anticipating any big flooding issues . But the risk for strong wind gust is a concern
With the frontal passage winds are going to become quite breezy. Then behind the front much colder air is gonna start moving back into the region, for late Thursday and Friday, as temperatures plummet Any leftover rain should turn over to snow. This will be especially true over a large part of New York State into northern and central New England. Expect to deal with lake effect.
For Saturday It will be very cold with most of the region staying dry. But we will have a system up in Canada That could bring some snow to northern parts of New York State and northern New England especially in those higher elevations. Along with some lake effect Falling down wind of the big lakes
Sunday will see temperatures become a little warmer; Is high pressure briefly moves in overhead. There will be a chance for a few snow showers and or flurries. For Monday we cool back off, As a cold front Moves back through the region. With the front We will see scatterbrained snow showers and flurries.
As I said yesterday these warm shots are gonna be transitory.
Hope you have a great day!
