Over the next few weeks we look to see ridging over the middle of the United States pushing possibly into Canada. This would set the stage for some troughing for the Northwest US into California and troughing into the Northeast US and Middle Atlantic region. We have seen plumes of moisture (Atmospheric River) coming across the North Pacific into the Northwest United States and Southwest Canada. I think we're going to see more of these atmospheric rivers coming off the Pacific. With the pattern remaining very active in the northern jet stream, We're going to be dealing with waves of fast moving frontal systems, moving across southern Canada and the northern United States. This is going to create a cornucopia of different weather types across the northern tier of the United States.
While over the next couple of weeks a large part of the US is gonna become mild, for the Northeast US it will be a bit different It will be a bit different. While we're going to have shots of warmth We're also going to be seeing cold outbreaks as well. For our region I think overall we're gonna end up overall on the cooler side of things than not.
The CPC is showing the Northeast and northern Middle Atlantic somewhat cooler over the next 2 to 4 week. I just think it's going to be cooler than CPC is thinking.
I've been talking about the time around Christmas and a possible storm around that time.
GFS is a little faster than the EURO. The GFS shows a possible storm impacting parts of our region on Christmas day. Whereas the EURO has a storm impacting parts of the region Christmas night into the day after Christmas.
Based on what's going on It's starting to look like Christmas Eve will be cold and dry. Also there's a chance for some snow, mix, rain later Christmas Day. The timing looks to be changing enough that a storm is possible. for the day after Christmas.
There is a chance for some kind of ice event for Pennsylvania Into the northern Middle Atlantic. With snow more likely across parts of New York State into northern and central New England.
So we could see a storm from the 24th through the 26th. It's going to come down to timing.