Thursday, August 20, 2026

A bit stormy and wet for some of us

 

The surface chart shows the cold front is pushing south and east across New England and Pennsylvania. Behind the front the air is very refreshing.  We can see the area of low pressure trailing cold front over southeast Ohio, ready to push across Pennsylvania. The low did allow bands of heavy rain to bring substantial flooding for Ohio this morning.

 


 



Here’s a look at the warnings and watches.

 


We have a couple of boundaries impacting the Middle Atlantic, these will help enhance rainfall and thunderstorm development in this area. This part southern Pennsylvania into Delaware and Maryland and especially central New Jersey and into southern Connecticut could see 2-4 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts due to training thunderstorms.  That part of the I-95 will have a very active evening.

The latest thunderstorm outlook.


 Here’s a look at the SPC day one severe outlook.  Storms that become strong to severe will be capable of damaging winds in excess of 65 mph. torrential rain, frequent lightning, hail, and an isolated tornado or two can’t be ruled out.



For tomorrow into Saturday, we can expect comfortable conditions and lower humidity levels.   Saturday we will see another area of low pressure develop. This will extend up through southern New England on Sunday. This one looks to bring more heavy rain the same areas seeing it this evening.  From Washington DC up through New York City across Connecticut, Massachusetts and Rhode Island, with the risk for some flooding continuing.

Behind all of this next week looks to be active and unsettled. We’re going to have troughing develop over the region. This will bring in well below average temperatures for most of us for most of next week.

 

 Drought

Northern Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont had limited rainfall in the past week, leading to degradations in drought. Deterioration of soil moisture and streamflow were noted in this area. Elsewhere, localized precipitation resulted in small improvement in drought conditions in upstate New York and in central and eastern Massachusetts. Similarly, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia had some improvements where there was significant rain during the past week.

 


 


Stay safe!