We're seeing the return of some cold air Last night's and this morning's warmer temperatures are crashing behind the departing cold front.
The surface chart shows Low pressure Heading east sitting over New England With the trailing cold front off the Middle Atlantic coast. On the radar We can see away from the Great Gakes Scattered snow showers Are across the region. The rain showing up over Maine is going to change over to snow as the system departs the region. Downwind of lake Erie and lake Ontario we have lake effect snow falling That's going to bring a few " of accumulation That's going to bring a few " of accumulation When it's all said and done general accumulations of 7-14 " is most likely under the most persistent snow bands. General winds will be from the west and northwest will be around 5-15 mph today With the colder temperatures Untreated services are going to change over to a bit of ice So keep that in mind as you're out and about.
On the infrared satellite We can see the two pieces of energy in the northern and southern streams Failed to face So the region missed dodge the bullet when it comes to the big storm that was looking possible 4 or 5 days ago. The satellite image also shows The shortwave up over the Northern Plains into the Rockies. This feature is going to be dropping south and east and will develop a storm off the Southeast coast, There is nothing in the pattern that's going to allow this to come up the coast So this is going to move out to see without much of an impact on our region for Sunday into Monday. Saturday we are going to have a cold front dropping through the region, with a weak area a low pressure moving along the frontal boundary. Wave the front We could see a dusting to a couple of inches for most of y'all. But closer to the lakes They will be seen lake effect snow downwind bringing accumulating snow
Sunday will remain cold. We will have that coastal low to our east. The big storm that many outlets were hiking and talking about 4-8 days ago, Stayed to our south and east We have no face between the northern and southern streams. In several post I explained the reasons for all this with the dip and the jet stream And a trough axis not being negatively tilted fast enough To allow that storm to come up the coast. As a result the southern energy out ran the northern energy, Resulting in no phase and no big storm. Here are a look at the euro and GFS from tropical tidbits.
GFS
Euro
We're going to have the frontal boundary sitting off the coast. As you can see in the above images The trough axis is gonna be positive And done it will change to neutral or maybe slightly negative but it will be too late to bring the storm up the coast and bring us a snowstorm here in the Middle Atlantic and Northeast. Both models are very Similar in appearance And show the storm weakening as it approaches the East Coast. This is going to brush The Middle Atlantic Coast and southeast New York State as well as southern and eastern New England. These areas can expect a few snow showers and or flurries. Minor snowfall accumulations of a dusting to an inch or two will be possible for the coastal plain of the Middle Atlantic As well as New York City and Long island . Across Connecticut, Rhode Island up through eastern Massachusetts and south and east Maine a few inches of snow will be possible This will be especially true for Southeast Massachusetts including Boston and the off-shore islands but overall this won't be a big deal.
As this system pulls away very cold air is gonna comeback into the region for the early to mid part of next week.
The pattern going forward through the rest of January into a large part of February looks to remained overall cold The pattern will remain active So in spite of what the last couple of storms have done were the ingredients didn't come quite together enough to make a big storm there is still the potential for more snowstorms as we move forward.
