Today is going to feel very tropical, with high temperatures and humidity. These above average temperatures and muggy conditions will continue through the weekend.
Surface chart
and radar.
The surface
chart shows that approaching weakening cold front. This will act as the focus for scattered
showers and thunderstorms for today through Saturday, as the front inches
through and falls apart.
Today the SPC has a Marginal Risk for severe weather stretching from northern Vermont into Viginia. The main risk will be isolated gusty damaging winds and especially heavy rainfall. These heavy downpours could produce localized flooding. with the high humidity frequent lightning is also a concern.
Tomorrow and
Saturday will be a rinse and repeat, with high temperatures, high dewpoints,
with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. For tomorrow the SPC has the Marginal Risk farther
to the south, sitting over New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, and Maryland. Again,
the main risk will be heavy downpours along with a risk for isolated damaging winds.
Sunday the
trough will be hanging around, but it looks to be much drier than Saturday, but
isolated rain showers and or a rogue thunderstorm will be possible. Temperatures and humidity will be a little
lower as well.
For Monday a cold front will try to move into the region, but it falls apart. Monday will feature a chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms. Tuesday will see another cold front approach and move into the region. This cold front will be weakening as it moves through, producing scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. This cold front will stall to our south Tuesday night into Wednesday, then Wednesday night and Thursday it will move back north as a warm front, producing the chance for isolated showers, but many won’t see them. A cold front will approach and move through later Thursday, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of these will be strong to severe.
Yesterday, I
posted another post on the strengthen El Nino, with a look at the 1982-1983 Super
El Nino. If you like, check it out. The first
winter outlook I release in October, will tie back into these earlier El Nino
post. So having an understanding of them will be helpful.
Have a great
rest of your day!
