The gorgeous weather continues!
The surface chart Shows strong high pressure up near Maine with another area near the Carolinas. It also shows that weak trough moving into the region. Today is going to be another warm day (But those who end up dealing with the easterly component in the wind will find there temperatures very slightly below average for this time of year) with humidity starting to climb. This will be due to the location of the high pressure directing an onshore flow and southern flow into the region. Clouds will be variable across the region. That weak trough will be the trigger for a better chance for some isolated showers and thunderstorms today. Unfortunately winds are not going to be very strong and so we're still gonna be dealing with that wildfire smoke out of Manitoba.So much of the region is dealing with air quality alerts. Those with heart and lung issues will want to limit any strenuous activity outside. The overnight will be another warm one with a chance for some isolated showers.
For tomorrow into Monday Conditions are going to be similar to what they are today. But, temperatures will be warmer and humidity will become quite noticeable. Rain chances are are going to be low; with only a slight chance for isolated showers and a rogue thunderstorm each day. As we move forward The wind flow change should allow at least some of the smoke to get out of here; leading to slowly improving conditions.By Saturday and Sunday as the high pressure starts to move off the Coast, the temperatures and humidity are going to become quite high. Rain chances will be almost nonexistent, but I can't rule out a few rogue rain showers.
We have that low developing along a stalled frontal boundary over the Carolinas. The National Hurricane Center is still giving this a 40% chance for development. It is increasingly looking likely that this will continue to move out to sea and not try to come up the Coast. So it shouldn't have any impact on our weather for friday, Saturday or Sunday.
Monday we'll still be dealing with the hot hazy and humid conditions. But it looks to stay mainly dry with only a chance for a few isolated showers or thunderstorms. Tuesday we will be watching a front approaching the region That southern flow ahead of the front will lead to very warm temperatures with humidity starting to become oppressive. Rain chances will also be increasing west to east across the region. Later Tuesday we'll see the scattered rain showers and thunderstorms working their way into and across the western parts of the region. This front will continue moving across the region on Wednesday bringing widespread scattered rain showers and thunderstorms to the region.
More on the tropics
We do have a couple of tropical waves that are worth talking about. The 1st is out over the Atlantic heading towards the central Atlantic This is being given 60% chance of development by the NHC. The odds are good that this will become our next named system. But regardless of development this one looks to stay out to sea and should not pose a threat to the eastern United States. Another tropical wave that will be coming off the West Coast of Africa in my opinion is the one to watch over the next 7-10 days. The strong high pressure to the north should be in a position that allows this to continue to move westward across the Atlantic This will allow it to get into either the Caribbean or move closer to the Southeast coast. The next name on the list is Erin.
No post for tomorrow!
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