Changes they are a coming!

Current surface chart Radar And infrared satellite image.

Today

We have high pressure in control over head. Temperatures are very mild with just a few very isolated rain showers. These temperatures are going to continue to warm as we go through the afternoon. We do have that nearly stationary boundary setting to our north. This is going to cause some mischief for tomorrow. That approaching cold front Shows up very well On the infrared satellite image. Today this cold front Is going to lead to severe weather out over the midwest and Ohio Valley. There is a chance that some of these stronger storms make it into western parts of New York State and Pennsylvania.

Looking at the 24 hour temperature change from Penn State's E-wall. We can see temperatures today are much warmer than they were even yesterday But we can also see that cold air is right on our doorstep.

Today's severe outlook

Looking at the severe outlook Tornado Possibilities We can see the 1st use of the new storm prediction center hatched level 2. This means there's a  greater chance for possibly some stronger tornadoes than we have seen over the last few days.

Wednesday

Tomorrow as that strong cold front approaches. We are going to be Very  warm Along with a noticeable increase in humidity ahead of that approaching  cold front. Rain will be moving west to east into Western and northern New York state, Pennsylvania. and northern New England. Along with this There will be the risk for thunderstorms Some of these will be strong to severe. The SPC has a Slight Risk for severe weather over a large part of Pennsylvania, Maryland ,Delaware and most of New Jersey. There is a Marginal Risk for severe weather over northeast Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey. As well as into southwest New York State. The risk will be the possibility of damaging winds, frequent lightning and hail There was also the possibility for a few isolated tornadoes to developed. We will have to watch and see if the line of thunderstorms develop a bow echo which would increase the risk for damaging winds.

Tomorrow's severe outlook

Rain will be locally heavy at times, With a chance for a bit of a mix over far northern New York State and northern New England. The actual cold front will come through the region Late Wednesday night night Into Thursday. As the front comes through We will see Moderate to heavy rain move across the region west to east. Behind the front Much cooler air than we've seen the last few days will move into the region. The cold coming in is going to be  seasonal to slightly lower than average for this time of year. With the cold Rain will change over to some snow For most there won't be any accumulation as the ground is very warm. Are over parts of New York State into northern New England a minor accumulation of snow will be possible. This Will be especially true in the higher elevations As that air moves over the Great Lakes Some lake affects snow is likely to develop. There will be a chance for some ice accretion across far northern New York State, far northern Vermont and New Hampshire. As well as northern Maine Wednesday night into Thursday.

Wednesday and Thursday are going to be windy. With wind gust of 30-40 plus miles an hour possible

On Friday high pressure will be moving through the region across the region. Then for later Friday into Saturday, we will see a clipper move across Southeast Canada. As this trough come through. there be a chance for snow showers a mix across northern Pennsylvania New York State into northern and central New England and rain showers  for those southern areas.

On Sunday we're gonna have a system in the Great Lakes drag a warm front into the region. as the front moves through there be a chance for snow and mix on the northern side, as this warm front continues north. Temperatures are going to warm and this will change over to rain as a southern flow brings milder air back into the region. Monday we will see a cold front approach and move across the region. Is the cooler temperatures set up rain will change over to a bit of snow across parts of New York State Into New England. Again there could be some accumulation across northern parts of our region.  When's will be gusty on Sunday into Monday. 

 Tuesday the cold front clears the region But there will be a chance for some lake effect snow falling downwind of the Great Lakes.