Feels like Summer for today!

 Surface Chart and Radar

The High pressure is starting to exit ahead of the slow-moving cold front; this is going to lead to increased cloudiness and then rain showers and thunderstorms. Today is going to be unseasonally warm. Ahead of the front will be increasing 15-30 mph and becoming gusty with gust of 35-45 mph possible.

Looking at the radar, we can see some spotty showers moving into western parts of our region as well as a few over New York State and northern New England. But the air is dry, so some of this isn’t reaching the ground. For Northwest Pennsylvania and parts of New York State and northern New England; the rain will be become more widespread, and the intensity will increase by during the Tuesday afternoon and especially Tuesday night into Wednesday with localized heavier downpours quite possible. This afternoon and evening will likely see scattered thunderstorms develop. Some of these could be on the strong side. The heavier rain will make it to Southwest Pennsylvania and Pittsburgh late tonight into Wednesday.

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)

The SPC has a Marginal Risk for strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The main risk will be strong damaging winds, with gust of 60+ mph. But there is also a danger for some hail, heavy downpours, and possibility a few tornadoes, but the tornado risk is very small.  

 The following images are curtesy of Pivotal Weather

The rain and a few thunderstorms will move into eastern New York State late Afternoon and especially this evening

As for Wednesday, it’s going to stay windy with gusts 30-40mph., as the cold front slowly advances south and east rain and embedded thunderstorms will develop across eastern Pennsylvania and especially Southeast Pennsylvania and the Northern Middle Atlantic This will continue during the afternoon before tapering off to more in the way of scattered showers by Wednesday night. The rain looks to make it into Southeastern New England during Wednesday afternoon and Night. As low pressure develops along that front Thursday, we could see some light rain or rain showers redevelop on Thursday, especially Southeast Pennsylvania and points east.  The rest of the region will remain unsettled for Thursday. 

The weather is going to remain unsettled for Friday and through the Mother’s Day Weekend, as we see several weak shortwaves move through. But it won’t be a washout; I expect the showers to be more isolated than not. Rain chances will increase for Sunday night and Monday as a stronger cold front works through. Then High pressure will move in for Tuesday, producing more in the way of tranquil weather.  

I really don’t know how these daily weather posts are being received. Not too many of y’all are reading them.