The weather Next Week
This morning places in New York, Pennsylvania, and northern New England saw temps in the
upper 30's and low 40's. make it feel like Fall. Pennsylvania and Mid Atlantic States will see
heat and humidity this weekend. New York State and New England will see
temperatures and dewpoints rise this weekend...but not as much as those to the
south.
But as I said on
my Facebook page, the warmer air will be temporary. We're going to see a trough move in from the
north and west. The trough will set up shop over the East Coast, allowing
cooler than average July temperatures to invade even the Deep South. The reason for this is the jet stream
pattern, we're still basically in the same pattern we had during the Winter of
2013-2014.
In The Great Lakes and
New England it will feel more like late September than July. Those around
the Great Lakes and Higher Elevations of New York and northern New England....
a few days next week will see highs in the upper 50's into the 60's, with night
time lows in the 30's-40's.
What is a trough?
A trough is an elongated area of low atmospheric pressure
that can occur either at the Earth's surface or at higher altitudes. Upper-level troughs influence many surface
weather features, including the formation and movement of surface low
pressure areas and the locations of clouds and precipitation.
Normally precipitation will fall to the east of the
trough axis while colder, drier air tends to prevail to the west of the trough
(in the Northern Hemisphere).
When the height contours bend strongly to the south, (as
in the diagram above), it is called a trough. Strong troughs are typically
preceded by stormy weather and colder air at the surface.
Troughs and Ridges deal with things like geopotential heights, Vorticity Advection, Temperature Advection. These are very complex and deal with a lot of physics, differential geometry and complicated math equations. I will try to keep the math and science out of the discussion .
Troughs and Ridges deal with things like geopotential heights, Vorticity Advection, Temperature Advection. These are very complex and deal with a lot of physics, differential geometry and complicated math equations. I will try to keep the math and science out of the discussion .
The primary characteristic of a trough is that it is a
region with relatively lower heights. Height is a primary function of the
average temperature of the air below that height surface.
For example, if it is 500 mb heights then the 500 mb
height is based on the average temperature between the surface and 500
millibars. The density of air changes with temperature. As the temperature of
air cools down it becomes more dense and thus more compacted (takes up less
volume). Therefore, as air cools the height lowers since the air is becoming
more dense. Air will cool when it rises, thus a trough can be found where there
is a lifting of air.
What is geopotential?
1 geopotential metre=0.98 dynamic metres
geopotential height is a better measure of height in the
atmosphere as energy, is in general, lost or gained when air moves along a
geometrically level surface. This is because geopotential depends on geometric
height and gravity with mean sea level being selected as the zero potential
height.
The unit of geopotential is the potential energy acquired
by unit mass on being raised through unit distance in a field of gravitational
force of unit strength.
Low geopotential height (compared to other locations at
the same latitude) indicates the presence of a storm or trough in the
mid-troposphere.
Relatively high geopotential height indicates a ridge,
and nice quiet weather.
Decreasing geopotential height usually indicates an
approaching or intensifying storm.
Increasing heights usually indicate clearing weather for
the period.
Vorticity Advection:
The term advection refers to the transport of something
from one area to another. In Meteorology advection deals with variables like
temperature, moisture, and vorticity.
In Meteorology, vorticity is a property of the stream
flow, namely the amount of localized rotation of the air, air that rotates
counterclockwise, such as the low pressure associated with troughs,
is said to have positive vorticity. Clockwise rotating air, such as in high pressure systems and ridges, has negative vorticity. Vorticity
advection is indicative of rising motion/falling pressures at the surface. In
the atmosphere vorticity is caused by a change in wind speed (shear), change in
wind direction (curvature), and the spin of the earth on its axis.
The advection of
vorticity at high levels will result in a response at the surface which will
attempt to offset the effects of the advection. More specifically, vorticity
advection is indicative of rising motion/falling pressures at the surface.
Vorticity advection does not amplify the wavetrain. But
what it does do is allow the eastward movement of the trough/ridge
Temperature Advection:
Temperature advection occurs when wind transfers heat energy horizontally
through the atmosphere. Cold air advection is when the wind is
carrying cooler air into an area that already contains warmer air. On
the other hand, warm air advection is when the wind pushes warmer air into an
area that already contains cooler air. Temperature advection is
measured in terms of the amount of temperature change that occurs in a given
interval of time.
Temperature advection will deepen a trough, and build a ridge
So basically this all means.......As high and low
pressure build up in the atmosphere, between places where the air rises (low)
and sinks (high). There are also long elongated areas between those. Often we
say that areas of low pressure are separated by a ridge of high pressure. it is
not exactly a high pressure center but rather, a region of higher pressure
between two areas of lower pressure.
Likewise, a trough is a region of lower pressure without being exactly a center of it. The difference is that, spin counter-clockwise along a trough, the air doesn't (in the northern hemisphere) but rather, influenced by the nearby clockwise motion of the surrounding high pressures.
Likewise, a trough is a region of lower pressure without being exactly a center of it. The difference is that, spin counter-clockwise along a trough, the air doesn't (in the northern hemisphere) but rather, influenced by the nearby clockwise motion of the surrounding high pressures.
It's a complex subject.... but I hope I made it more clear...................
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