We need rain...But nothing meaningful is looking likely anytime soon!

 

Today's Northeast weather discussion…

The Surface maps show high pressure is starting to move to the east, with a warm front approaching from the Ohio Valley. It also shows a stationary frontal boundary over the region. Rain showers associated with the warm front will start to move into western parts of the region by this afternoon. With the high starting to push east, a southern flow will develop, which will allow for a breeze and warmer temperatures to move into the region.  The rain showers will move west to east into tonight. Those in New England should see some rain tonight.

Tonight is going to be mild.  The rain will be pushing away from New England by tomorrow morning. A southwesterly flow will mean temperatures will be even warmer, with the warming trend going into Halloween Thursday.  Both Wednesday and Thursday will see high temperature records challenged or even surpassed. Both days should be dry.

 A strong cold front will approach Thursday, ahead of the front rain showers and most likely some thunderstorms will break out. The rain will likely reach western parts of the region very late afternoon and evening. The rest of the region should stay dry for trick or treaters for the evening.  The rain will continue to push east during Thursday night into Friday morning. Rain could be locally heavy at times. But as the front moves through there will only be a window of 2 to 3 hours for rain west to east. So meaningful rain, will be hard to come by. Rain should be ending across Maine during Friday morning.

Behind the front skies will clear, with temperatures becoming seasonal, with a bit of a breeze. The weekend and through Monday are looking to be generally dry. But there could be some lake effect rain showers downwind of the Big Lakes. Tuesday will see a warm front approach and push through bringing a chance for some rain showers, with warm temperatures moving back into the region.

As for the Caribbean, there is no change in the overall thinking of something trying to spin up. The NHC still has the 7-day development odds at 40%.

Remember, Daylight Saving Time will end this weekend. So that means we have to set the clocks back one hour before going to bed Saturday night.