01-16-2026

 

A little bit of snow over the next 2 to 3 days! 

Here is an overall quick look at the next 5-7 days 

Tomorrow we're going to have a clipper moving through This will bring a general 1-3 inches of snow for interior parts of Pennsylvania, New York State and New England. But there could be locally higher amounts of 3-6 inches, Especially in the higher elevations Like the Tug Hill, Adirondacks, Poconos, Catskills, Berkshires, Whites and Greens.

Sunday and Monday

On Sunday we're going to have a storm well to the south and east of the Middle Atlantic and New England. As I said yesterday this is gonna brush the coast With some light snow. Due to the extremely cold temperatures the snow will have a lot of fluff factor. So even with very limited moisture available Some accumulating snow is likely across part of eastern Maryland Including DC (But DC and likely Philadelphia would have a better chance at the lower end of the scale) Delaware and  New Jersey along with extreme southeast New York including New York City and Long Island.  Along the immediate coast There be a rain mix but this this will eventually turn over to all snow. The areas I just mentioned will have the potential for dusting to perhaps 2 inches of snow. Just north and west of the I- 95 Corridor could end up seeing a bit more than that with 2-4  inches possible

Later in the day on Sunday Into Sunday night The storm will be developing and pushing north and east off the New England coast. If this passes close enough Southern Connecticut and up through eastern New England. This will be generally a dusting to perhaps 2 inches. Those with the best chance of seeing 2-4 inches with perhaps some locally higher amounts will be Sunday evening into Monday morning across eastern long island, southeast Massachusetts (Including Boston) and the off-shore islands.  The coastal plain and along the coast of Maine could see some snow as the storm moves into and through the Gulf of Maine.

Behind this storm we are going to see brutally cold air move into the region This is gonna set the stage for a multi  day lake effect event downwind of lake Erie and lake Ontario for late Monday, Tuesday into Wednesday. Heavy lake effect snow will be possible downwind of lake Ontario and lake Erie. The areas that see the most persistent snow bands will likely see 1-3  feet with localized higher amounts of 4 to even 5 feet of snow  being possible. Thursday we will see a wind shift and temperatures will try to moderate a little closer to what is considered normal for this time of year.

Quick look at the longer range.

With the La Nina quickly fading the southern sub tropical jet is going to become very active. The MJO Is in phase 7 getting ready to go into phases 8 and 1 and as I explained in the last post on the MJO; phases 8 and 1  are a very favorable pattern for East Coast storms and a much better chance for the northern and southern streams phasing.

The polar vortex Is currently weakening and looking to expand and stretch and we're going to see parts of it break off and effect the lower latitudes with cold outbreaks. Over the next 7-14 days We look to see it displace and head towards The eastern 2⁄3 of North America 

So we're going to have overall cold air during the second half of January into at least the 1st part of February. But we will have some incursions of milder air at times. With the MJO  moving into favorable phases during that time and the southern jet stream looking to become much more active than it has been. Along with the idea of all of these things very well could shift the overall storm track further south than it has been. All of this is a good thing if you wanna see some coastal Storms develop.  The table is set for possible big storms on the East Coast. I'm not saying we're gonna get those storms. Only that the pattern would support them and be favorable for them. As is always the case when dealing with big storms everything has to line up just right; it all comes down to placement and timing.

The pattern is strongly hinting at the possibility of a couple coastal storms in the January 24th to January 28 time frame. It's way too soon to talk about possible impacts.

That's it for today. Have a good weekend!