Wet and chilly to start then some snow for some at the end!

 

A look at the week ahead!

Surface Chart, Radar and Satellite

 

  

We’re going to have a few upper-level disturbances that will be moving through over the next couple of days.

Well, it finely feels like November. There is high pressure trying to push in from Kentucky. We have that area of low pressure moving slowly north & east heading for the Canadian Maritimes. We also have an area of low pressure to our north pushing across Canada, with an attached warm front and trailing cold front. These will keep us a bit unsettled today with isolated occasional rain showers over New York State and Northern New England.  This will continue into tomorrow morning, with for the higher elevations and mountains to see some snowflakes, tonight, accumulations shouldn’t be too high.

 

Today

Today is going to see seasonal temperatures with a chance for very isolated showers over northern parts of the region, the rest of the region should stay dry.

  

For the rest of the week

This colder unsettled active weather pattern is replacing the prolonged stretch of unusual warmth and extremely dry weather stagnant pattern that dominated the region from the 2^nd half of October through the first week of November, Monday will see temperatures become a bit milder as the warm front moves through, but Monday will remain unsettled with scattered rain showers and gusty winds. With gust of 25-30 mph at times. Monday evening/night, could see a few snowflakes again in the higher elevations and Mountains.  Tuesday is looking to be mainly dry, but the farther north you are the greater your chance to see a few isolated rain showers. Wednesday is looking to keep the entire region dry.  

 

Then on Thursday we’re likely to be watching low pressure drop south and east out of the Plains; this looks to move across western Pennsylvania. Then a secondary low will from and move off the coast and become a developing storm system. As this is going on it will interact with a piece of energy in the southern stream lifting out of the Gulf. These are going to try and phase.  The result will be a coastal storm that will move north and east and strengthen. Later Thursday and through Friday, this very well could bring widespread rain heavy at times.  If everything comes together the storm will pull in colder air into it resulting in the chance for accumulating snow, across the Appalachian Mountains and Allegheny Mountains interior parts of western and northern Pennsylvania, New York State, and northern into central New England will have a chance for snow.  Those with the best chance of seeing accumulating shovelable snow will be the Laurel Highlands, Poconos, Catskills, Berkshires, Adirondacks, Greens, Whites and Monadnocks. Lower elevations and valley locations could see snowflakes, but right now, I’m not sold on accumulating snow in these areas especially on the valley floors, rain and snow will continue into Saturday as the storm is pulling away. This is a dynamic setup that will be elevation driven and we will have to watch and see how things evolve.