The surface chart shows a stalled front trying to move into the region.
Low pressure will form in Pennsylvania along the front, as the front slowly slides east this low pressure will move east with it. Scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will form over Pennsylvania into the southern tier of New York State. The farther north you go the more isolated the showers will be, across areas south of Syracuse showers will be widely isolated. Right now, it looks like north of the New York State Thruway should stay mainly dry.
As the front
stalls, the low pressure will hang around, with scattered rain showers and
thunderstorms moving into Eastern Pennsylvania, the Middle Atlantic, and
southern New England. As is the case in New York State, southern Vermont,
southern New Hampshire, southern Maine could see some isolated showers. But
northern Vermont, northern New Hampshire and northern Maine should see dry
weather.
The Storm
Prediction Center has a Slight Risk for severe storms across most of eastern
Maryland, Delaware, southeast Pennsylvania and southern and central New Jersey.
The main risk will be gusty damaging winds and heavy downpours, that could lead
to urban and localized flash flooding, the hail and tornado risk is also there
but lower.
An area of
high pressure builds late Thursday and clears skies out overnight.
Thank you once again. I am sure there are many of us who look forward to your posts.
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