Rain this week, but there will be lots of dry time.

Surface chart and radar 

We have a warm front with a few weak boundaries lifting through the region, this is leading to isolated to scattered showers. While temperatures are seasonal, the front is bringing high dew points, which is making the air feel quite muggy. Scattered thunderstorms will be around this afternoon and evening.  With the high humidity, a few storms will be capable of dropping very heavy rain. The weak cold front swings through tonight and the overnight, it will take down the temperatures a bit, but it will still be warm, but it will put a dent into the humidity.  

High pressure builds in for Tuesday. There could be lingering rain showers, but most won’t see them, and it should be a fairly nice day.

As the high pressure exits, low pressure with a couple of fronts arrives out of the Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon into Thursday with another round of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.  The cold front will be slowly moving northwest to southeast. The rain won’t be super widespread, so the flood risk is low.

The cold front will bring a noticeable drop in temperatures and humidity, making Friday into the weekend comfortable. Most of the region should be dry on Saturday, but a coastal low will form and move along the coast.  This will bring scattered showers along the coast, with rain becoming much more isolated away from the coastal plain.

Sunday we will be dealing with a trough bringing the chance for isolated showers. Monday will be a wash rinse and repeat. 

Invests 92L and 94L that we were watching last week, have succumbed to the high windshear and dry air. This is a result of the current strengthening El Nino. I will be posting the last part of the super El Nino series sometime over the next couple of days.