Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Another disturbance for Wednesday.

 




We are going to have a front stall. it's going to be sitting somewhere over central or southern New York state and across Massachusetts. North of the frontal boundary we will have colder temperatures with warmer temperatures south of the boundary. An area of low pressure will move along the stalled front This will bring a chance for some rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow. As well as a chance for thunderstorms across southern parts of the region. Exactly where that rain snow line sets up Is a bit foggy right now.

Right now it looks like it should be all snow north the I -90 corridor and the Mohawk Valley. For northern New York closer to the Saint Lawrence valley a general  1-3 inches of snow is possible. A little south of there  general accumulations should be a general 3-6 inches of snow (This will be especially true for the Adirondacks). Then along and over the I-90 corridor into the Capital District of New York y'all will likely see snow change to mix and some ice. General accumulations of snow and ice look to be 1 to maybe 3 inches. Then heading into southern New York State and south of the Capital District of New York y'all will probably see ice change over to rain. With a dusting to around an inch of accumulation

Across Northern Vermont northern New Hampshire into Maine a general dusting to 2 inches of snow. For southern Vermont, southern New Hampshire , western and central-northern Massachusetts (north of the Pike) will likely see 2-5 inches of snow. for eastern and  southern Massachusetts 1-3 inches. South of there heading into northern Connecticut into southeast Massachusetts including the Cape seeing a dusting to an inch or so.

Northern Pennsylvania into northern New Jersey will have a better chance of more in the way of steady rain, Where the Poconos into northwest New Jersey having a chance for a bit of mix. Southern Pennsylvania into the rest of the northern Middle Atlantic rain showers should be more scattered.

There is a chance for some thunderstorms across Western Pennsylvania north of Pittsburgh into southwest New York state. There is a chance a few of these thunderstorms could be on the strong side. The storm prediction center has a Slight Risk for severe weather over this area.


Any shift in the track north or south Will have big impacts and will change the local forecast for those areas impacted.

Thursday should be primarily a quiet day

For friday into Saturday we have the potential for a more in the way of an impactful storm Near the Great Lakes that looks to transfer it's energy to the northern middle Atlantic coast This in essence will be a miller B. 

A Friday Saturday event is also gonna be very tricky. But here is what COULD happen. We could have several  inches of snow over northern New York State down through the Adirondacks, across most of Vermont and New Hampshire, Southwestern Maine. As well as most of northern Massachusetts. South of there across central New York State and the Mohawk Valley into the Capital District of New York state and downward across far southern Massachusetts Including the Cape and Connecticut there will likely be a mix.

There is also a chance for another coastal storm Sunday into Monday. This one could be a bigger deal. But that will depend on the track.





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