The pattern is certainly staying active.

 Surface chart, radar and satellite

Yesterday warmed up and today the warming trend will continue. On the surface chart we can see high pressure is exiting to the east as a frontal system approaches from the west. The leading warm front will be pushing through the region today. This will allow temperatures to get even milder than they were yesterday.  Here's a look at the Penn State 24 hour temperature difference.

The temperatures are going to be the warmest we've seen in nearly 3 weeks. But  the milder temperatures will come  with a  price. The clipper over the lakes is going to race across northern New York State into northern New England. Then we will see an energy transfer to a low pressure area out in the Gulf of Maine. From there it's going to move into Nova Scotia. 

 A general 2-4 " of snow Will fall across northern New York and northern new England. With possibly 3-6 inches over parts of the Tug Hill, Adirondacks into the  Greens and Whites. Much of Maine could also see 3-6  inches. 1-3" will be possible across central parts Of New York state Out across the mohawk valley and through Massachusetts Down into the northern part of the Cape. A dusting to an  inch is likely across the New York State's Southern Tier (and up through the Central Hudson Valley), into southern new England and northern Pennsylvania, Add dusting to an  inch will also be likely across Connecticut Most of Rhode Island out onto the far southern Cape and off shore islands. Across Pennsylvania the northern middle Atlantic Into southern New York state and into Connecticut over into the Cape. As temperatures warm you'll likely see some mixing and rain develop. Some localized ice lake effect Is possible during the overnight. But all in all this won't be that big of a deal.

Tomorrow the cold front will come through. This will bring an end to the warming trend It will also bring the chance for snow showers and flurries. With the cold front we could see 1-3 inches generally across northern areas. But the higher elevations of the Adirondacks, Greens into the Whites could pick up a little bit more than that. Those cold winds Coming in over the great lakes is gonna kick off some lake effect snow. This especially to be true for y'all southeast of lake Ontario where 3 to 6 inches will be possible. 

Thursday high pressure will move in overhead along with northwest winds. Temperatures are going to cool to more what we would expect for this time of year. The high pressure will continue to be in control for Friday providing plenty of sunshine. It will remain cold, but nowhere near as cold as we have been. Saturday we will watch a system work its way across eastern Canada drag a trough into New York State and northern and central New England where they could see some scattered snow showers. Elsewhere there shouldn't be much of anything.

Sunday into Monday we're going to have a complex system approach. We will have energy in the northern jet stream. As well as some energy in the southern jet stream. When we look back up at the infrared satellite; we can see all that green coming into southern California. This is going to be our end of weekend system. This is going to work its way across the southern US over the next few days. The injection of of cold air that is coming as we approach the weekend is not gonna be an arctic air mass. Instead it will just be regular winter cold. We will have to watch the timing of these two pieces of energy. If the northern energy is quicker it will force this southern energy out to sea and away from the Middle Atlantic and Northeast. If it's a little slower; we could see that southern energy try to come north a little bit. Looking up at the GFS and EURO from tropical tidbits we can see this idea. But right now, It looks like the northern jet and the southern jet are gonna stay far enough apart that we will see no phasing develop between these two pieces of energy. So we could have scattered snow showers across northern parts of the region due to the northern system. With scattered rain and mix possible for the southern parts of the region. So for now at least I don't think this is going to be a big deal at all. All of this will be pulling away on Tuesday.

That's it for today!