Much warmer and the severe risk is growing!

 Surface chart and radar

We have the warm front lifting into the region Allowing for very mild temperatures for this time of year To move into the region. This afternoon into tonight We are going to see ahead of a cold front Rain showers and thunderstorms move through the region. Winds will become gusty, with gust of 25-30 miles an hour possible. The rain and some storms look to move into northern and central New York State this afternoon. The rain looks to make it into western new England and Hudson valley late afternoon into the early evening.  Then late afternoon through the evening the rain and storms will be moving through the southern tier of New York State into Pennsylvania. The rain looks to make it Into eastern new England and Boston. Late evening and tonight.  It looks to make it into Philadelphia Late this evening into tonight as well.

That low pressure area is going to continue to strengthen Ahead of the cold front we're going to be in a mild and Moderately moist environment The cold front is going to quickly drop in to this. Setting off The possibility of severe thunderstorms. The storm prediction center Has a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Over western Pennsylvania With a moderate risk extending into central Pennsylvania and western New York state. The enhanced risk that's over the Ohio valley Is very close to the Ohio Pennsylvania border It is possible that SPC can extend this later today To include part of western Pennsylvania. Initially ahead of the cold front We will have to be on the lookout for discreet super cells. (Super cell thunderstorm that form independently ahead of the cold front). But the speed of the cold front Change to an environment that supports lines and clusters of thunderstorms Within these clusters there will be a possibility of some tornadoes developing. Even behind the cold front There is still going to be the rest for some severe thunderstorms developing.  More in the way  of general thunderstorms For eastern Pennsylvania into the northern middle Atlantic As well as most of New York state and new England

Here is a look at the SPC day 1 convective outlook.

The main risk will be strong damaging winds and hail, some of this hail could be large to very large (Baseball size). There was also the risk for a few tornadoes There is a chance that some of these tornadoes could be strong. 

As the front is moving through conditions will improve North to south during the overnight Into tomorrow afternoon. Behind the cold front Friday and over the weekend, High pressure is going to approach and move in overhead.  So we will be seasonally chilly to cold. On Sunday the high pressure will shift off the coast allowing for more in the way of a southwest flow and temperatures will start to warm up slightly. Turn on Monday another area of low pressure will approach with scattered Rain and snow showers. Tuesday We're going to have the system come through with the leading warm front and a trailing cold front. With this we will see temperatures warm ahead of the cold front before plunging back down and rain turning over to some snow especially in the northern areas in those higher elevations.