Disturbance in the far western Gulf.

 I do have people who live along the gulf who do follow this page, so I wanted to do another post on the tropical Atlantic.

The low-pressure area I mentioned the other day that is a combination of a tropical wave that moved across the Caribbean and the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristina that moved across Central America from the eastern Pacific, is still sticking around.

Looking at the Gulf satellite image shows a broad area of low pressure sitting just off the eastern coast of Mexico south of Texas. The image shows this is poorly organized and is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. There is a strong area of high-pressure system sitting over the northeastern Gulf of America, this along with an approaching front is going to help steer the disturbance northward toward south Texas. 

The environmental conditions are going to be only marginally conducive for tropical development, at the 2 PM update NHC has assigned a low 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next 7 days. So, this will only have a short window to develop into anything.

Regardless of whether the system becomes a tropical depression, Gulf moisture associated with the disturbance as it merges with the front will bring periods of showers and thunderstorms to the southeastern portion Texas.