Happy Father's Day on this first day of Summer!

 

Today is the first day of the Summer Solstice, meaning this Father’s Day will see the most daylight of the year.

Surface chart and Radar

 

 

We have high pressure up over the Great Lakes and low pressure to our north producing a trough over the eastern half of the region, we can also see a system out west that is going to push east.

For today, a warm front will begin lifting north, heat and humidity will start to push into the southern part of our region. The best chance for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be closer to the Canadian Border, in the Adirondacks and across northern Vermont, northern New Hampshire, and Maine. But isolated showers will be possible across the rest of New York State, northern Pennsylvania, into New England. But most won’t see them.  Storms will be slow moving, so isolated flooding can’t be ruled out.

Tonight clouds will increase ahead of the next weather system, as that system out west approaches, there will be a chance of some showers over the evening hours for western parts of our region. As the system out west gets closer.

 

Monday will see waves of steady rain and some thunderstorms push into Western Pennsylvania and western Maryland, as that wave of low pressure passes to our south across the Middle Atlantic. The rain and storms will push east into the region. How far north the system tracks the farther north the rain and storms. Right now, it looks like heaviest rain will fall across Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jesey. With Steady rain maybe making it as far north as the southern Half of New York State (mainly south of I-90) and across southern Vermont and southern New Hampshire and Maine. Those across northern New York State and the northern half of Vermont and New Hampshire along with northern Maine saying mostly dry with a chance for some isolated showers.  Thunderstorms could become strong too severe across Pennsylvania, New Jersey and points south.  Those with the greatest chance of seeing severe storms will be across a large part of eastern Maryland and Delaware. The SPC has a Slight Risk for severe storms across Maryland and Delaware with a Marginal Risk stretching into Southern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey and NYC and part of Long Island. Severe chances will depend on how much sun appears, as earlier rain could dimmish severe chances.  

 

Monday night into Tuesday will see that low-pressure system track across Southern New England heading into the Gulf of Maine.  This will bring widespread sometimes heavy rain across the southern half of New England Monday night into Tuesday some of this steadier rain could make it into southern inland and coastal locations of Maine. With scattered showers across northern Maine.  The farther west and north you are on Tuesday the less your chance of seeing rain.

Wednesday looks to be a mostly dry day with mild temperatures.  Clouds will be on the increase Wednesday night, ahead of another system for Thursday and Friday. Both days look to be active with showers and thunderstorms quite possible.