January 15th, 2025

 

Well, the cold and blustery conditions continue. The Northwest winds are 10-20 mph with higher gust, making for a chilly windchill.  The lake effect is still flying, but its much weaker than it was; we have a couple of shortwave troughs moving through as they rotate around the low over Atlantic Canada, these will kick off a few snow showers and flurries

The lake snow bands will hang out generally where they are for the afternoon, then they will shift to north and east this evening, bringing accumulating snow to around Buffalo and Syracuse, accumulations of 1-3 inches will be possible for these areas, the bands will continue to shift north tonight bringing lake snow east of the lakes, those under the most persistent bands could see 2-6+ inches of snow.  

We have a frontal system dropping south and east out of Canada; the associated warm front will approach and move through for tomorrow, as it moves through it could kick off scattered snow showers, but accumulations should be light. This should allow for lake snows to taper off Thursday night into Friday morning. For those not being impacted by lake snow, Thursday and Friday should be fairly quiet. Milder seasonal air will move in behind the warm front for Friday and into Saturday. Then a cold front will move through later Saturday, with a trailing arctic front that will move through on Sunday.

For Saturday it will be warm enough for things to start as rain, but then the higher elevations will chance over to a mix, before transitioning to all snow late in the day and into the night. Snow/mix will move down in elevation, but most of the rest of the region should end up with the rain or some mix. A few inches will be possible in the higher elevations with a dusting to an inch or two possible for some lower elevations.  Sunday afternoon will see the arctic front approach and move off the Coast; then we’re going to see low pressure develop near the Delmarva; As this develops the arctic air is going to stream in, allowing for temperatures to crash. This will set the stage for accumulating snow for eastern Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Long Island, including New York City into southern New England.  The I-95 Corridor could see moderate accumulations. How far inland this will get will depend on the exact track the storm takes. The storm is going to quickly pull away, leaving brutal arctic air in place for Monday through next week. Winds will be breezy next week, along with more lake effect falling downwind of the Great Lakes.  

The very strong arctic high is going to mean very cold air coming in is going to push south into Mexico, Gulf Coast and Florida. South of the cold air, will be that warm moist air over the Gulf of Mexico (GOM). The question is will this set the stage for a midweek southern snow/ice storm along the Gulf Coast that could redevelop off the Southeast Coast and then come up the East Coast on Thursday? There is definitely potential for this happen.  So, if this forms, we will have to see if it stays suppressed south or comes up the Eastern Seaboard.

 

I hoped I would have seen more interest and eyes on these post by now. But views are still not even reaching a hundred a day. It takes an enormous amount of time to do these daily weather updates.  

My days involve, watering and feeding many horses, mucking their stalls, checking and cleaning tack, help maintain the stable and other outbuildings and check and fix fences. If that’s not enough, I run a money investment business, I only have a few clients, but it still takes time. I also take care of my Family. So, finding time to do weather analyses is hard to come by. I want to start a YouTube channel to post on, but that will increase the amount of time I have to devote to all of this, it will take time to edit the videos and the other things it takes to run a channel.  But I’m willing to take a chance on this, if I can see more interest in my weather post; so, I need to see viewership at least double on the blog before I will attempt to do this. I provide  one of the best weather sites out there; so there is value in this continuing. How this works out will depend on all y’all.

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