Thursday, February 6, 2025

February 6th, 2025

 

Storms and rumors of storms. The next several days will see a string of fast-moving systems moving through the region.

 


 



 High pressure will briefly move in behind or departing system, allowing for most of Y’all tomorrow, to see a tranquil day with seasonal temperatures. But those east- southeast of Lake Ontario will be seeing light to moderate lake effect, some areas southeast of the lake could see 6-12+ inches. We will have an area of low pressure organize over the Plains.

Saturday will see temperatures fall, with things becoming quite cold.  Then our next storm will approach out of the Ohio Valley. This one is a bit stronger than our current one. Due to high pressure hanging over eastern New York State into New England this one will be tracking a little farther south.  As we just with the current storm, a warm front will approach and move through bringing a mix of snow, sleet, Ice, and rain.

Initially this should start off as a mix south of the Mason Dixon Line, and snow north of the line. Saturday morning should start out dry, then late morning/early afternoon the mix should start over Maryland and Delaware. Rain with some mix looks to move into Southwest Pennsylvania (including Pittsburgh) mid to late afternoon. Then the Precipitation will push north and east from these areas. On the leading edge a quick burst of snow that could add up to an inch or two could all over southern Pennsylvania (including Philadelphia) central New Jersey into western long Island. These areas could see 1-3 inches, for southern Connecticut, Southeast Massachusetts, eastern Long Island, back through New York City, northern New Jersey back into eastern Pennsylvania north and west of Philadelphia 3-6 inches of snow is possible, with a change over to some sleet and freezing rain at some point, north of here it should stay primarily all snow. Southeast New York State (including the Catskills) up through Central New York State (including the central and northern Hudson Valley) into the Adirondacks, Northern Connecticut, Massachusetts, southern Vermont, Southern New Hampshire into Southwest Maine 6-12 inches of snow will be possible with locally higher amounts possible. Far northern New York State, northern Vermont, northern New Hampshire, and across Central Maine 3-6 inches of snow is likely. With snow amounts falling off over northern Maine where 1-3 inches is possible. 

Amounts could be lower if the storm develops slower than I think.

This one has a greater chance for more in the way of widespread ice accretion across Pennsylvania and Maryland, where areas of moderate to heavy ice amounts are possible, this will be especially true for the Allegheny Mountains and Laurel Highlands.  Areas that see moderate to heavy ice accretion will run the risk for Power outages will be an issue.

Sunday the storm will exit the region. Then with high pressure moving in overhead, making for another tranquil day, but lake effect snow will be falling downwind of Lake Ontario Sunday night into Monday.


Tuesday will see the high pressure exit ahead of yet another system approaching. This one will be a bit farther south than the 2nd one. Allowing moderate to perhaps heavy snow to fall in the I-95 Corridor. This snow will be pulling away on Wednesday morning.

 

Right on the heels of the 3rd storm, another storm will approach and move through for Thursday into Friday. Unlike the 2nd and 3rd storms this one looks to be trending north.

In the long-range post from yesterday, I said the pattern would be very active, and that sure seems to be the case.

 

5 comments:

  1. Thank you. I thought there would be some blocking developing? All these storms are racing by.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You're welcome. We will see what happens when the NAO goes negative.

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  2. Thank you. It’s a struggle to make plans or get to all our appointments in this weather.

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