Another day with a severe threat

Well I guess today is April fool's day!

No April fools day joke. With the  frontal boundary Meandering around a region  the next several days are going to stay very unsettled

Current conditions

The surface chart shows that cold front Drop in south Across the region. With high pressure nosing in from the north out of Canada.Radar is showing rain showers up over northwest Pennsylvania. With some scattered isolated rain showers north of there. Colder temperatures are dropping south and east behind the cold front.

Today is going be another day that features a wide range in temperatures across the region. The southwest flow out ahead of the front Is allowing temperatures to be Very warm. What temperatures behind the front becoming quite chilly. Those with the best chance of seeing  rain showers  will be for the New York State southern tier and points south

The showers will continue to work to the south and east along with embedded thunderstorms. Some of these thunderstorms could become strong too severe later today

Today's severe threat

Later this afternoon and through the evening There will be the chance for isolated Severe weather. The main risk will be the risk for gusty damaging winds and small hail. With the chance for locally heavy rains. There will be a localized flood threat, This will be especially true for poor drainage and some urban areas.

The Storm Prediction Center SPC has a Slight Risk for severe weather over eastern Maryland, Delaware into New Jersey and southern Pennsylvania.. The Marginal Risk covers the rest of southern Pennsylvania, western Maryland and New Jersey.

While The tornado threat is never completely zero when dealing with severe storms. Today's threat is very low as the SPC has the tornado threat highlighted to the west.

The backdoor cold front is going to slow install Just south of the region tonight into tomorrow. Along the frontal boundary there will be the risk for a few rain showers and isolated thunderstorms. North of there the day should be fairly quiet

With most of the region north of that frontal boundary. Thursday will feature very cool temperatures across the region. 

Thursday night and through friday The front is going to start lifting back north As a warm front . Then on friday The front looks to  slowdown or maybe stall once again over. New York State into southern New England.  During friday The warm front will be slowly lifting north. With the frontal boundary there will be a chance for rain showers and some thunderstorms. As this continues to push north; there could be the risk for some mix snow showers in the higher elevations over northern New York State and northern New England , For friday night into Saturday. That mix will extend into Maine and it looks to be mainly snow across northern Maine where a few inches of snow is possible.  Friday into Saturday is also going to be quite windy as that warm air is surging northward. Most of the area region Should see a fairly nice Saturday as Precipitation is going to be to the north along that boundary.

Sunday we're going to be seen a strong cold front drive back down through the region Cooling everything off behind the front on Easter Sunday. Ahead of the front We will see rain showers and some thunderstorms dropping south and east across the region, The rain looks to be dropping into northern and western  New York State Sunday morning. Then during the afternoon The rain and thunderstorms will be working into northern and eastern New England, much of the rest of New York State and into Pennsylvania. The rain showers and some thunderstorms Look to move into the rest of new England and the northern Middle Atlantic including southeast Pennsylvania Sunday evening in to Monday morning. 

Some of these storms could be strong to severe But I do think the severe threat is going to be rather limited.