We made it to Friday.
The surface chart shows the stationary front draped up over Northern New York back down through New England. With the high pressure of over the Gulf of Maine the stationary boundary is going to drop south and west as a back door cold front down into the Middle Atlantic. As the frontal boundary drops through It will lower the heat and humidity back down to seasonal levels It will also bring the risk for a few showers and thunderstorms. New York State and Pennsylvania are under that high pressure ridge. These areas Will see seasonal temperatures today, with a mix of sun and clouds There is a slight chance for a few very isolated showers Maybe a storm or two but most should stay dry. The best chance time for any rain or thunderstorms will be later this afternoon into this evening.
On Saturday a warm front will be lifting into the region This will bring A few rain showers and possibly some thunderstorms with it. The main thing we will see is the heat and humidity starting to build back into New York State and Pennsylvania. The warm front will continue to push into New England later in the day.
Sunday will feature a cold front pressing down out of Canada and the great lakes this will bring the chance for some thunderstorms and scattered rain showers for northern and scattered rain showers for northern and to western New York State Late morning into the afternoon. These showers and thunderstorms will be dropping into Pennsylvania in the early afternoon continuing to drop south east across western into central Pennsylvania during the afternoon into the evening. The front is going to be slowing down as it pushes south and east New England and the Middle Atlantic on Monday. As the front pushes into this hot and humid air mass It's going to set off thunderstorms. Some of these could be strong to severe with the big danger being Strong gusty winds Frequent lightning small hail and heavy downpours. With all the moisture in the air And the slow moving nature Of the storms the risk for heavy downpours is the biggest concern with all this.
The front is going to stall out Tuesday near the coastal plain. A prefrontal trough builds in for Wednesday, keeping things a bit unsettled .Then another cold front approaches and starts to move into the region on Thursday. Ahead of the front it is going to become hot and humid with a chance for rain showers and thunderstorms. For Friday yet another cold front will slide into the region. This one has a greater chance for some severe weather.
Have a safe weekend. I will be back on Monday.