February 27th, 2025

 

I borrowed Chuck Lewis's map showing the general snowfall so far for the season.

The last several winters have been lack luster and warm. But this winter hasn’t had that issue, there have been abundant cold spells, including some that had a long duration.  The pattern has been active, for those east of Lake Ontario, snow events have been seemingly nonstop with snow falling just about every day.

Hundreds of buildings have collapsed over the last few weeks, due to the amount of Lake Effect snow, southeast and east of Lake Ontario.  Parts of the Tug Hill have seen up around 300 inches (25feet) to 360 inches (30 feet) of snow so far this season, With another 10 to 14 inches through this Saturday. Half of this has fallen during February alone.  Syracuse has seen around 105 inches of snow, with Buffalo and Rochester seeing around 82 and 76 inches.  

Snagged this from Bill Kardas at WKTV.

Across a large part of New England, snowfall is running a bit below average for this point in the season, due to the pattern having the general storm track to the south.  But parts of Vermont have done very well, according to their websites, Stowe has seen 266 inches and Jay Peak is reporting around 350 inches so far this season.

Looking at the weather into next week.

 

 

 

Currently we have low pressure over the Lake Ontario with an attached warm front lifting thorough the region. Ahead of the warm front we have snow, then as temperatures warm it chances over to a bit of mix and then rain, then change back to snow tonight into early tomorrow, for northern areas. Those northern areas in New York State and Vermont look to see a general 1-3 inches of snow, south of these areas will see a dusting to an inch, with the Adirondacks and Greens seeing 2-6 inches.  Snowfall totals will be highest along the foothills and Western Maine, where 4-6 inches is expected. Most communities along the interstate and Northern areas will see 2-4 inches, Northern and Central New Hampshire and Maine will see 2-4 inches with parts of Central New Hampshire into west central Maine seeing 4-8 inches, Coastal Maine, Coastal New Hampshire and northwest Massachusetts a dusting to an inch or two. The system will be pulling away from Maine this evening.   The rest of the region will be dealing with scattered rain showers.

Temperatures will continue to climb today. For most of us temperatures will remain mild tonight, so areas that see snow melting there will be advection fog again to deal with. But northern areas will drop back to near freezing so wet roads and surfaces could see a bit of black ice, so keep that in mind. There could be a few lingering rain/snow showers into early Friday morning.

We will have another little clipper system come through Friday afternoon into Saturday, this one will be similar to the one currently moving through, a few inches of snow for northern areas, with snow changing to a mix and then rain for most northern areas, but areas in the far northern parts of the region and much of Maine could hang on to the cold air long enough for it to say mostly or all snow. Again, southern parts of the region would stay all rain. The Friday into Saturday Clipper will have quite a bit of wind with it.  Behind the clipper much cooler air is going to move in for Saturday night and Sunday, northwest winds mean there will likely be some lake effect falling downwind of Lake Ontario and maybe even Lake Erie, with scattered rain/snow showers for the rest of us.

The colder temperatures will hang around into Monday, then we will see another warming trend begin later Monday and Tuesday.  Wednesday into Thursday we will be dealing with our next system, it will form in the Plans and become very strong. This is looking to be a major severe/tornado outbreak for the South. For us, this will be approaching from the west with a leading warm front. It looks to pass over the Great Lakes, so for the majority of our area this will be a widespread rain maker. Winds will likely be very gusty as well. The cold front will pass through later Wednesday and Wednesday night.  Rain could be heavy at times. Along with a chance for thunderstorms across eastern Pennsylvania into the Middle Atlantic. Rain will continue into Thursday, with widespread rain continuing. The storm will be departing during Thursday afternoon, with the cold air coming in behind the system, rain will be changing over to snow, for parts of Pennsylvania, New York State and New England.