Chance for severe thunderstorms.

 Surface chart and radar

We have the approaching cold front moving out of the Ohio Valley. This will head east during the course of today. We have thunderstorms within the convective band ahead of the cold front. They will bring a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms for western into central parts of our region. The SPC has a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms across western parts of New York State and Pennsylvania. With a Marginal Risk into central and New York State and central Pennsylvania. The risk today will include the possibility of some damaging winds, hail and possibly a few tornadoes. As the environment is unstable enough to support embedded tornadoes within some of the squall lines as well as a chance for a few supercell tornadoes to develop. This is the first use of the new SPC intensity forecast hatches that are marked on the maps. I posted a few days ago what these hatch mark areas mean and how to interpret them. If you didn't see the post or want to know what they mean you can go back and find them.

The day 1 convective outlook.

As all this moves into a more stable environment later this evening into tonight all of this should settle down.

As I've said before many times The best way to stay warned of severe weather in your area is to have a NOAA weather radio. They are inexpensive and work very well. I strongly encourage all y'all  to buy and use them.

Have a great and safe Saturday!