Here’s a look at the surface chart and radar image.
The cold front along with the area of low pressure that was moving along it, are now up over New England and off the coast. The strong upper-level feature is still hanging around. This will keep today a little unsettled.
But the day
will Slowly improve as the upper-level feature continues to drift south and
east, allowing the weather to turn nicer west to east! Eastern New York state
into New England will be dealing with mostly overcast skies for much of the
day, but later in the day, some of the clouds should give way allowing for a
few breaks of sun here and there. Some lingering sprinkles or very light
showers are possible but should be very limited.
For the
Weekend
With the
upper level low to the east, the weekend isn’t looking too bad overall, as high
pressure will end up settling over New England as we head into the weekend. We
are going to see a building large ridge in the Southeast US, as this works in
our direction, there will be much warmer conditions for both Saturday and
Sunday.
On I/R satellite, we can see all of those clear skies just to our west. All of this will be influencing our weather over the weekend. Saturday will start out dry. But a weak frontal system will be approaching. As the high pressure starts to push away, we will be dealing with a west to southwest flow. The front looks to move through fairly quickly. So, other than isolated to spotty rain showers Saturday and Sunday shouldn’t be too bad. As the front gets closer during Saturday afternoon. very isolated showers will move into western New York State into western Pennsylvania. This will slowly move across New York State and Pennsylvania late in the day, then move into the Middle Atlantic and New England Saturday night into Sunday morning. Many people might not see any rain over the weekend, due to its spotty nature. Both Saturday and Sunday will be breezy, warm conditions.
We should
stay mainly dry into Monday with continued warmer temperatures; Then starting
Monday night, Tuesday into Wednesday night we will be watching a cold front
approach and move through. Temperatures ahead of the front will become
downright hot, with higher amounts of humidity making it first appearance this
season. With the heat and humidity, we will have rain and thunderstorms, some
of these storms will be strong to severe. With the main danger being damaging
winds and hail. But heavy downpours and frequent lightning will also be a
concern. The tornado risk is looking low, but as aways it won’t be zero. Behind
the front some cooling will return for later next week.
Over the
next few days, we’re not going to see a lot of rain
Looking at
the US Drought Monitor released yesterday; we can see a large part of New
England into the Mid-Atlantic remains in need of rainfall.
Rainfall
patterns across our region were very uneven, Across the northern and western
areas saw much more rain than the rest of the region, with much of the rain
concentrated across Western New York, Northwestern Pennsylvania, and much of
Maine. The map shows Moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought, along with abnormal
dryness (D0) were improved in in these areas. On the contrary, rainfall totals
were much less across southern portions of the region, on the map Severe (D2)
drought was expanded in northern Massachusetts, Delaware, and southern portions
of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, while moderate (D1) drought was expanded in
Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut and southern Pennsylvania this week.
The U.S.
Drought Monitor released on May 14 showed 21% of the Northeast in severe
drought, 21% in moderate drought, and 18% as abnormally dry compared to 19%,
23%, and 21%, respectively, last week.
With the
lack of rain, these drought conditions are likely to worsen and expand
