It stays unsettled!

 

I met to put this up this morning, but a horse issue came up, that made that the priority. Anyway, here is a quick post.  

Surface Chart and regional radar.

 

 

We can see the frontal boundary set up over southern New Jersey, back into Delaware and Maryland., with a cold front just off the Coast. High pressure is nosing out of Canada; this will keep us dry with mostly sunny skies with seasonably warm temperatures and humidity is still going to be a bit high for today into tomorrow.

A cold front will approach on Wednesday so our chance showers and a few storms increase. Across northern New York State and into Northern New England as early as tomorrow morning. The front will slowly be moving out of the Great Lakes into the region during the afternoon into Wednesday night. With the frontal passage there will be a few scattered showers and thunderstorms moving west to east. As the front moves into southern New England and Pennsylvania it will be weaken and slow way down, it does look to lose some of its moisture.  For western Pennsylvania, New York State into northern and central new England Friday and Saturday should be fairly dry.

The front is going to end up stalling to our southeast near the Mid-Atlantic coast, we’re going to see a series of little areas low-pressure form along the boundary, for Friday into Saturday. These will move along the boundary. Bringing the chance for widely scattered rain shower across Maryland, Delaware, into New Jersey and Southern and southeast New England. Exactly where these front stalls will say how much rain some people see and who sees what, right now the best chance for more in the way of rain stays closer to the coast. The cold front will bring a noticeable drop in temperatures and humidity, making Friday into the weekend very comfortable. Sunday and Monday we will see troughing along with a cold front approach and move into the region, keeping things a bit unsettled, but there will be plenty of dry time. The trough looks to hang around for Tuesday as well.

Yesterday, I posted on what looks to be a very strong El Nino and some implications on winter.

From Levi Cowan at Tropical Tidbits.

Here is the latest data showing temperature anomalies in Nino 3.4 showing an SST anomaly of +2.327, if this remains the case over the next few weeks, then we’re already in a Very Strong (Super) El Nino!  This is already having a big impact on the Atlantic Hurricane Season, and it will have a big impact on Winter 2026-2027.

I hope y’all can find the time to look it over (yes I know a three part series is a lot of reading), but I think it provides a lot of insight into what is going on. It will also lay the groundwork  for my multi part winter outlook that will start being released in October.