Surface chart, radar and satellite
We have high
pressure off the Coast with an approaching warm front attached to an upper-level
ridge. The UL ridge is going to end up stalling overhead and then a upper-level
low will develop in the Gulf of Maine near the Canadian Maritimes.
We’re going
to be having a few weak disturbances dropping south and east out of the Great
Lakes. These will try to interact with the warm front, with the chance for a
few widely scattered showers. Looking at the radar we can see a few rain showers
over Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey. With some very isolated rain showers
around southwest Massachusetts. with some rain/mix showers up over Maine.
Satellite is showing not much going on over the Northeast, with a large area of
clear skies over the Midwest. But we can see the showers and storm that are associated
with the cold front out west.
A look at the next 2 to 3 days
Storm Prediction Center SPC Day 1 outlook
The overall threat is rather limited, but a few storms could turn strong today. The area with the greatest chance for severe weather stretches from the High Plains including parts of West Texas, Kansas and Nebraska, into the northern Plains. Another smaller area of concern extends from northeast Indiana into northern Ohio.
Storm Prediction Center SPC Day 2 and 3 outlooks
The severe risk
increases tomorrow, as a cold front moves across the central and northern
Plains.
A corridor from southern Kansas into southern Minnesota faces a slight risk of severe weather, meaning scattered severe storms are possible. Storms may begin during the afternoon and continue into the evening, with hazards including damaging wind gusts, large to very large hail and a few tornadoes. Another round of storms is possible late Friday into Saturday across the southern Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley.
Tomorrow is
going to be even milder that today, as high pressure brings all the sun over
the Midwest to the Northeast and northern Middle Atlantic. Tomorrow should feature
dry conditions for many of us, but for Maine back into Northwest Massachusetts and
New Hampshire y’all can expect to see rain and snow showers during the morning,
before easing up a little and becoming more in the way of scattered in the
afternoon.
For Friday
that cold front is going to approach, with widespread rain and maybe a few
thunderstorms. A weak disturbance moving along the front could trigger a few
stray showers and a few non severe thunderstorms Friday, across western parts
of our region., but much of the time it will be rain free. This is going to
become stationary, as an upper-level low develops in the Canadian Maritimes. As
the strong cold front gets closer more in the way of widespread rain will move
in for Friday night into the first half of the weekend. As low pressure
develops along the boundary. Rain could be moderate to heavy at times, Rain
showers will extend into Sunday morning, but things should become drier Sunday
as the low pressure starts to exit. Monday will see high pressure move back in,
with cool temperatures and mostly dry conditions. Later Monday, we will be
watching a low-pressure frontal system approach from the west. This is going to
move through Monday overnight into Tuesday, with widespread rain. Wednesday
will see the system pushing east, but a trough will be hanging around keeping
things unsettled. Seasonable to below average temperatures become established
going through next week.
