Thursday, November 12, 2026

Things go downhill from here

 I haven’t got a lot of time right now, but I did want to post

 


The system is going together.  On the surface chart it shows how it’s coming together as I’ve been talking about for the last few days. So I won’t go into all of that.

Rain is going to overtake the region today, there could be some thunderstorms Some of these thunderstorms could be strong to severe, will be capable of heavy downpours, frequent lightning, hail, with wind gusts of 50-60 mph, and an isolated tornado in southeastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and central New Jersey. 

Winds will be gusty for the next couple of days with 5-15 mph and upwards of 35 mph inland and 40-50 mph on the coast so Coastal flooding will be an issue 



Here’s the rain and snow impacts I posted yesterday

 

 

Rain amounts for Maryland including Washington DC, Delaware and southern New Jersey you could see upwards of 0.5 inches of rain. The coastal areas of northern into central New Jersey, lower Hudson Valley (including New York City, Long Island, southern Connecticut, Rhode Island. And Southeast Massachusetts will see all rain, with rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches likely. As the nor’easter type storm develops near the coast Thursday night, temperatures cool, which means a good chance for a change over to some snow for interior area, especially for those over 1,000′ in elevation. Those a little further inland including Philadelphia and Boson along with northern Connecticut and much of Massachusetts, rain amounts of 0.75 to 1.50 inches are likely, no snow accumulation is likely, with a chance for snow mixing in on the back half of all this. The higher elevations in Western Pennsylvania including the Laurel Highlands could see a trace to 0.5 inches. Areas north and northeast of here including northwest Pennsylvania and southeast New York State will see rain on Thursday into the early evening 0.5 to around 1.0 inches with along with accumulating snow, 1 to 4 inches of snow is possible, this will especially be true for the Poconos and Catskills.   For Northwest Massachusetts including the Berkshires 2-4 inches of snow is looking likely at this time.  Outside of the Greens in Vermont across New Hampshire and southern Maine 2-4 inches with 1-2 inches along the coast, Northern Maine, northern Vermont and northern New Hampshire a trace to an inch. For the Greens 3-6 inches. The White mountains could see 2-5inches of snow. The Adirondacks look to see 3-6 inches; in the mountains the highest amounts will be on the ridges.     The lower elevations of New York State including the Mohawk, Hudson Valleys as well as Albany, and Champlain Valley a trace to 2 inches, most areas north of the Mohawk Valley including most of the Tug Hill 2-4 inches but the highest elevations of the Tug Hill could see 3-6 inches, far northern New York State including the Saint Lawrence Valley a trace to 2 inches.