11/23/2025

 Thanksgiving is quickly approaching!

This is going to be a very quick post That will highlight what's going to occur during the upcoming week.

Here's a look at the surface chart regional radar and infrared satellite.

We have an area of low pressure just south of James Bay, dragging a leading warm front and a trailing cold  front across the region. This is a weak clipper, that will bring a few rain showers and snow showers across New York State into New England. The unsettled conditions are going to continue tonight into tomorrow morning.  Snow accumulations across northern New York State and northern New England will likely be a trace to as much as 3 inches in spots, this will be a especially true in the higher elevations.  The rest of the region shouldn't see much to anything.

Monday is going to be  generally decent but winds will be becoming breezy. On Monday into Tuesday we will be watching a system currently sitting over the southwest US track into the Midwest along with a disturbance up in Canada work their way our way. These are gonna keep Tuesday into Thursday unsettled with warming temperatures and most of the region seeing rain showers and a few higher elevation snow showers. For the region away from the Great Lakes This shouldn't have any major impacts. But as this system is departing, we are going to see cold air and breezy winds move in behind it.

For thanksgiving day and Black Friday!

We're going to have an area of low pressure exiting the Great Lakes heading towards Quebec This will be dragging a strong cold front across the region for Wednesday night with a lot of cold air behind it.   High pressure will be building in behind the system as it departs. This will keep the region cold heading through the weekend, with the vast majority of the region  seeing generally  good conditions.  But there could be a few isolated rain showers or flurries. But for those closer to Lake Erie and Lake Ontario the scenario is going to be completely different.

For the lower Great Lakes.

The winds right now look like they will be coming out of the southwest and west. So, This means, lake effect will be falling east and north east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie. The snow should stay in this orientation during the day on Thursday, During thanksgiving the bands will probably be a little bit disorganized. So we could have one band off of Lake Erie up over the Niagara frontier, And another one South of Buffalo. For lake Ontario It looks like the bands on Thursday will be up over Oswego, northern/central Lewis, Jefferson into Saint Lawrence counties. Then Thursday evening/Thursday night, the lake bands are going to shift south and end up on a southeast orientation, During the night these bands should intensify, It is likely that the National Weather Service is going to issue lake effect snow squall warnings for Thursday night.. Thursday night driving will likely be very treacherous and near impossible. For those under the most intense bands on Thursday night significant snowfall is looking likely. For Black Friday the lake snows should be down South and east of the lakes into central New York and South of buffalo into into the Southern Tier, Finger Lakes and northwest Pennsylvania. On Saturday the lake effect will be continuing but as we get into Saturday morning/afternoon the snow should be diminishing.

Through the weekend into next week it's going to remain cold with a series of shortwave troughs moving across the region keeping things a bit unsettled.