The heat is on, with hazy, hot, and humid conditions

 

Look at the current surface chart and radar.

We’ve had a hard time finding warmth this Spring. But Temperatures are going surge into the 80s and 90s at least for a couple of days.

Looking at the surface chart we can see that backdoor cold front over New York State and southern New England.  Radar is showing a few rain showers up over areas near the Canadian Border into Maine. We can also see rain and thunderstorms to our west, associated with that strong cold front moving into the Midwest. 

We’re going to see the southeast ridge advance north. This is going to push that stationary front back north as a warm front.

The Storm Prediction Center has two areas highlighted as Marginal Risk for isolated severe thunderstorm with the risk strong damaging wind gusts. The first is northwest Pennsylvania, western New York State and areas east of Lake Ontario. The second is across central Pennsylvania.

The cold front is going to continue to approach tomorrow, that southwest flow is going to ensure the heat and humidity is in full swing. As the heat pushes even warmer.  The region will see the heat surge from the mid 80’s into the upper 90’s across the region.

Images curtesy of Pivotal Weather 

As the front pushes into the heat and higher dewpoints, we’re going to see a higher risk for severe weather across part of the region. The SPC has a Slight Risk across northern Vermont and down across northern, central and western New York State. The Marginal Risk stretches from northwest Maine to northern Pennsylvania. The severe threat will be greatest beginning Tuesday afternoon and into Tuesday night. The biggest risk from these scattered severe thunderstorms will be strong damaging wind gusts, large hail, heavy downpours and frequent lightning. But there is also the risk for a few isolated tornadoes.

Wednesday will see the cold front continue to push through allowing the scattered showers and thunderstorms to advance with it.  The severe risk will move over New England into southeast New York State, New Jersey as well as southeast Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware. The SPC has a Marginal Risk over these areas, but there is a chance they could upgrade the risk.

 

 

Behind the cold front a much cooler air mass will move into the region. Temperatures will be dropping west to east on Wednesday. This will continue for Thursday and the Weekend. As temperatures return to seasonal levels. But it won’t get cool enough for cultivate frosts and freezes in the region.