If you like cool and boring weather this is your time.
The surface chart shows the cold front is well south and east of our region and is off the coast. High pressure has moved in and will be in complete control of our weather for the next few days. Radar shows nothing really going on, as the rain is out ahead of the front to our east and south. The region is seeing a lot of sun, but we do have some cloudiness over northern New England, due to a weak disturbance up in Canada. I can rule out a couple of rouge showers, but most of the region will stay dry, with slightly below average temperatures.
Tomorrow and Saturday will be much the same, with dry conditions, plenty of sun, with temperatures slightly warmer than today with low humidity.
Saturday night a weak frontal system will be approaching out of the northwest. I can rule out a few isolated showers over western and northern New York State later Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. But most won’t see them. The rest of the region should stay completely dry into Sunday. But as a weak front approach on Sunday isolated rain chances will increase along with the chance for a few thunderstorms. Those with the best chance of seeing this will be from Northwest Pennsylvania up through northern New England.
Monday the
region will be dealing with scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms move
in overhead. This cold front will be the first in a series of cold front that
will be moving through for much of next week, as an upper level low sits and
spins.
A weak front
approaches Sunday and that will bring a few isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Our next system to bring more rain will be early next week and it will also
ensure that we finish the month on the cooler side.
High
pressure will be moving in on Thursday, the cold front will be clearing the
region, other than scattered rain showers over New England the majority of the
region looks to be dry.
This high
pressure will set us up for another long stretch of cooler temperatures and
mostly dry conditions for Friday into most of next weekend.
Tropical
Storm Bertha
Bertha is a low-end tropical storm (but just barely); her max sustained winds are around 45 mph, with a central pressure of 1004mb, moving west at 10 mph. With all the wind shear and dry air, I’m really surprised she has held on as long as she has.
The wind shear has most of her convection (thunderstorms) well south of her center. That is going to continue to be the case. This will keep most of her heavy rains offshore. But as she makes a second landfall near Galveston this evening, some of that heavier rain will make it into far southern Texas. The middle and lower coast of Texas coasts and some gusty winds and downpours, the rain will be greatest generally from around Corpus Christi and points south into the lower Rio Grande Valley. These areas could see 1-3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible. But that part of Texas really needs the rain. Once Bertha makes landfall move in land across Texas, she should quickly dissipate.
Bertha made landfall in southern Louisiana on Wednesday, so she's the second tropical storm to do so this season. Arthur made landfall also on southern Louisiana, June 17th.
Most likely no daily update tomorrow, due the quiet conditions. But I will likely make a post on the drought conditions and something on El Nino over the next couple of days.
Have a great day!
