A quick post on tomorrows severe potential
A low-pressure system tracking across the Great Lakes with a leading warm front will lift north and move through during the morning, we can expect scattered showers and storms. The warm front should clear out the smoke, and it will become warm and humid along with a breeze. Then during the afternoon into the evening, the cold front will be dropping south and east out of Canada. The conditions the front runs into will be enough for scattered to widespread storms. We’re likely to see at least a couple lines come thorough, with strong to severe thunderstorms developing, with damaging winds with gust over 60mph and hail the greatest threats. But heavy rainfall and frequent vivid lightning will be a concern. As I said earlier, I can’t rule out a few isolated tornadoes.
The NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded to an Enhanced Risk for severe weather. With the tropical airmass, there will be Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms. If any storms end up training (storms that track over the same area) localized flooding could be an issue.
But the smoke could be a wildcard, if enough of it remains it
could limit the sunshine enough to lower the chance for storms to strengthen.
Those with the greatest risk for severe weather will be from
eastern Ohio through much of Pennsylvania, New York State, New Jersey, Maryland
and Delaware, back into Virginia. But other than Maine, the entire region is at some risk for severe storms.
The greatest time for severe storms will be 2 pm through 10
pm.
Stay weather aware tomorrow and have multiple ways to be alerted.
Lingering rain and a few storms are possible Sunday morning,
but the day will be much better, with cooler air and dry conditions during much
of the day. Monday is looking to be similar
to Sunday with seasonal temperatures and dry conditions
Then Tuesday and Wednesday showers and thunderstorms will return
with another risk for severe thunderstorms.
