I got back from the 9/11 ceremony and decided
to get this post out to All Y’all
Surface
Chart, Radar and Satellite
Today
We have a cold front slowly sinking south and
east away from the region. Other than a few showers over Maryland, Delaware and
southern New Jersey, the region is mostly sunny and dry, with seasonally cool temperatures.
We have high
pressure building in, that will ensure the region remains dry into tomorrow.
The weekend
On Saturday
a warm front will be lifting into the region, winds will become which will
bring warmer air into the region. The region looks to stay mainly dry during
the morning, but rain showers will be lifting north into Maryland, Delaware,
New Jersey and southern Pennsylvania during the afternoon. These showers look
to reach New York State and southern New England Saturday evening, then
reaching central and northern New England during the overnight. Some of the
rain could be heavy at times, especially the farther south you are. A rumble of thunder is possible as well. With the front warm and muggy air will move
into the region south to north.
a cold front
will slowly approach Saturday night and move through west to east on Sunday.
There could be some rain and thunderstorms across western parts of the region
during late morning. But the rain and thunderstorms will be moving east during
the afternoon into Sunday night. Some of these storms could be strong to
severe.
The Storm
Prediction Center has outlined most of Pennsylvania, New York State into western
New England at a Marginal Risk for isolated severe thunderstorms Sunday. The
main threat will be strong damaging winds and localized heavy downpours. We
will have to be on the lookout to see if a wave of low-pressure forms along the
front, which could enhance rain amounts.
Next Week
Monday is mainly dry but there could be some
lingering rain over eastern New England. Tuesday we will have a frontal system approach;
this will keep the region unsettled for Tuesday through Thursday.
Tropics
It’s been a
while since I said anything about the tropical Atlantic, but to be fair, there
hasn’t been anything to talk about.
We have a
couple of tropical waves over the Caribbean and two others over the tropical
Atlantic, with a few more behind them. But
other than that, there is nothing going on!
We’re at the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season and it is remarkably quiet. During the satellite era, the Atlantic hurricane season has never gone beyond September 11th without having a hurricane form. So, we’re in record territory. As I’ve said many times, overall seasonal activity as measured by the Accumulated Cyclone Energy or ACE is a measly paltry 4.4 units (the average for this point in the season is 60.3 ACE units), the lowest of any hurricane season to date in the modern record.
Wind shear and dry air still dominate the Atlantic Basin, so I don’t see anything developing for the foreseeable future. It’s possible we could go all through September without seeing a hurricane.
Never
Forget!
Have a great weekend!
