Thsee is An area of strong low pressure up over the great lakes That is gonna head into Canada Ahead of this we have a warm front lifting through the region With strong southern flow Directing very mild air into the region.This afternoon and evening We're going to see widespread rain that'll be heavy at times along with the chance for thunderstorms. Then we will have a trailing cold front move through that's going to sharply lower the temperatures And they will plummet Leading to the chance for a flash freeze. Along with this Rain will be changing over to snow. This is a fast moving system So the sleep and ice and freezing rain and snow Won't last an awful long time But it will be a long enough A bit of snow across New York State into northern and central New England. South of there there shouldn't be any accumulations.
There is a lot of potential for severe weather today. There are no real changes at least so far from what I said yesterday. Here's a look at the storm prediction centers (SPC) convective outlook for today.
There is going to be the risk For damaging winds Large hail Frequent lightning And a chance for a few tornadoes. any Bowing segments of the squall line will need to be watched closely. We will have to be on the lookout For discreet cells that break out ahead of the squall line These could produce some tornadoes and some of these could be strong This will be a specially true for eastern Maryland south of the Mason Dixon line. The area with the greatest risk of seeing tornadoes will be in eastern Maryland East of Frederick Over to around Baltimore Down to Washington DC and point south. There also could be a few tornadoes embedded in the squall line as it moves through.
As far as accumulating snow The poconos and most of New York State northern and central new England will have a chance for dusting to perhaps 2". With areas like the tug hill Into the Adirondacks and Greens Having a chance for 2-6 " of snow. Snow will linger Into saint Patrick's day Tuesday morning As the system is pulling away But lake affects snow will developing downwind of the Great Lakes Bringing additional accumulation to areas under the snowband.. Lake snows will be continuing into Wednesday But they will be Weakening and dying off as we go through the day
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