January snowfall

 

I’ve been talking a lot about the end of December pattern and January pattern a lot. This included analysis on teleconnections like the AO, NAO, and EPO, as well as what the models have been showing.  All of this has gone into how the up and down temperature pattern will continue, along with the pattern looking to stay active, with snow chances during January.

December has gone just as the winter outlook laid out.  Around the Great Lakes, snow amounts of 150%-200% for this time in the season. Northern areas have seen several clippers, resulting in quite a few lite to moderate snow events. At the same time Parts of the I-95 Corridor have yet to see any accumulating snow, again the outlook said these areas might not see much if any snow this winter.

The Outlook explained how this winter would see a lot of Clippers and inland runners. With the chances for big coastal storms low. That doesn’t mean we won’t see any major nor’easters, just that the pattern isn’t all that supportive for them.  

While I can’t talk about exact snow amounts and who will see what for January. The chances for snowstorms are definitely there.  To illustrate this, here is the Euro EPS showing what it thinks for snow extent for January. The model is basing this on analysis of the evolving pattern. The amounts aren’t important, but the idea that accumulating snow is likely across a large part of the region is the thing I want all y’all to take from this.

.