We have high pressure in control today.
Temperature started out really cool. But they're going to recover and temperatures will become a little below average.
Punxsutawney phil, definitely saw his shadow today. So I guess we're all in agreement Winter is going to be sticking around for a while!
It was very cold this morning, So I guess Punxsutawney was not too thrilled about being taken out of his nice warm burrow out into the snow ice and all that cold air. But I guess when you've the prognosticator of all prognosticators you have to put up with some nonsense!
Looking at the current surface chart and radar we can see why Punxsutawney saw his shadow.
We can see that cold arctic high pressure is providing plenty of sun and the entire region is dry. But I can't rule out a few very widespread flurries. Satellite shows not much is going on.
We can see that not a weak clipper moving north of the Great Lakes. We can also see that disturbance Moving away from the Rockies into the Plains. Later Tuesday into Wednesday a clipper will be passing to our south.
As I said yesterday We'll have a couple of chances for a little bit of snow this week. The 1st is gonna be at clipper Dragging a front through, We shouldn't see much in the way of snow just scattered snow showers That could produce a dusting to an inch for some of us. Those along the Mason Dixon line could end up with more of a widespread chance for snow; but again The amount should be light producing dusting to an inch or so. Air moving over the relatively warmer Great Lakes will kick off some lake effect, Those under the most persistent parts of the band could see 3-6 inches of snow.
High pressure is gonna work back in overhead for Wednesday night and Thursday. This should allow the region to see quite a bit of sun And it looks to be predominantly dry. Then on Thursday night and Friday, we're gonna have another clipper that's going to be dropping out of the Great Lakes Then dropping south and east across the region. The second clipper will be a little different than the first one. This one could be a little more robust and have a little bit more in the way of moisture to work with. This is going to be moving very fast. But it's also going to try to redevelop develop a coastal system. But in spite of all that it is still going to be a bit moisture starved. So in spite of everything this one will probably only bring a widespread dusting to 2 maybe 3 inches. But parts of western Pennsylvania New York State into New England, could see slightly higher amounts at the local level. Behind this front very cold air is gonna work back into the region. Accompanying the arctic air mass will be very breezy conditions. So on top of all the cold air the wind chills are going to be brutal once again for Friday night and Saturday. Away from the great lakes Saturday is looking to be fairly dry. But we will have lake effect falling downwind of lake Erie and lake Ontario. Then for Super Bowl Sunday we're going to have a weakening clipper approach the region. As this clipper falls apart it could kick off some Snow showers and flurries. But for the most part it won't be that big of a deal. Sunday we'll see the lake effect continuing downwind of lake Ontario and to some extent lake Erie.
Behind us For the next several weeks We're going to be dealing with quite a bit of overall cold and wintry conditions. But I've been saying this for quite some time and now Punxsutawney agrees.
I told you they were gonna have to rip Phil out of his den or stump whatever you wanna call it. Poor guy getting woke up when it’s one below zero, I think he said six weeks just despite us what they say he’s only right 30% of the time. I know you have said that the cold is gonna stick around for a while, You said that way back in the end of June and didn’t back off for the rest of your winter outlooks. Yesterday‘s post said that the cold could stick around till the end of February and even into the first two weeks of March. With the sun starting to get a bit higher in the sky, the cold that will show up the end of February and beginning of March should be just below average type cold, is that correct? I can’t see the area getting eight days in a row of below zero overnight lows and also going 11 days and counting without going above 32° so when you say that the cold will last you must be talking about below average cold not brutally below average cold. I hope I am correct about that. The snow has settled a bit in the sun is hitting up again again today, so I think that we could go for another snowstorm not that big just to whiten up the snowbanks and make it look clean, I mean, if we’re gonna have a winter, let’s keep it looking like one. I hate black snow. Thank you for your replies and for all your work. Your hard work and accuracy certainly has not gone unnoticed this winter. So I’ll say this to you thank you for paying attention in class. You must’ve been a kick ass student.
ReplyDeleteYes, We are moving out of the heart of winter. Where at that point in the season Where what is considered the average temperature rises generally around 1° a day. Show even though the temperatures will be generally below average at the end of February into March They shouldn't be as cold as they were earlier in January and the end of December. Thank you very much I enjoyed school a lot and I did a lot of other things that increased my meteorological knowledge even more.
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