No change in my thinking for today!

 

The surface chart shows the warm front advancing from the south. This is pushing into The colder air being supplied by the area of high pressure to the north.  No real changes in what I was saying yesterday for today's disturbance that's rolling through. So if you wanna see the snow amounts and everything that I talked about you can just click on yesterday's post. The surface chart also shows That upper level low moving into the Upper Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. This is going to slowly move our way and have an impact on us for Friday.

Tomorrow should be a quieter day But there's still a chance for a few lingering snow/rain showers. Here are my thoughts for Friday into Saturday.

For Friday we're going to have a warm front once again lifting into the region. Where is the front rain will be advancing across Pennsylvania and the northern middle Atlantic But there could be an inch or two of snow accumulation for places like the Poconos and northwest New Jersey Before a changeover to rain. The poconos, Catskills, Northwest New Jersey and areas north and west of New York City could see a bit of a mix of sleet and freezing rain. We're going to have a secondary low develop That could enhance the precipitation amounts across these areas a little bit. For New York City and Long Island, the Connecticut shoreline into southern Rhode Island a dusting to an inch will be possible, 1-3 inches will be possible across southern Connecticut into northern Rhode Island.  2-4 inches possible over northern Connecticut into southern Massachusetts.   Across New York State and Northern and central New England (North of the Massachusetts turnpike)  As well as western and southern Maine. It looks like a widespread 2-6 inches. With the higher elevations seeing  4-8  inches with locally higher amounts  possible.

For Sunday night into Monday

This is going to be a very complex setup As we will be juggling three pieces of energy one  will be Over the northern Plains approaching the Great Lakes. A second piece will be dropping out of Southwestern Canada. And another one will be moving in over California. All of these have to interact perfectly To get a big storm For the Middle Atlantic and parts of the Northeast. While there is a possibility of everything coming together When I look at the progressive nature of the pattern and the overall setup I think that odds are stacked against a major snowstorm. We will have a storm developing off the Carolina coast It could come up the coast. But the greater likelihood is it will kind of go out to sea. Brushing part of our region. Much of New York State, western Pennsylvania, northern and central New England will likely get some snow out of this.  Eastern Pennsylvania into the northern middle Atlantic Long island in New York City and southern Connecticut seeing a mix and maybe some snow That will all change over to rain. Temperatures will be coolish and winds will be gusty.