Tuesday, November 10, 2026

What are the models saying?

 

I’ve been asked to show some of the global model snow ideas. So here a look at the main ones. Remember these are just models and don’t mean these amounts are correct. The 1st idea amounts I posted earlier are just that ... Ideas. But I haven't changed my mind on them at this time.

GFS



EURO



EC-AIFS



GMC



 

Here is a map that shows the areas that will likely see mostly or all rain, and the areas that will see some Snow mixed in with the rain, the higher the elevation the more likely for accumulating snow.


The map shows, rain will dominate along the I‑95 corridor, but inland snow is possible, Most coastal areas and lower-lying elevations of the Northeast are more likely to see rain than snow, especially in western and northern Pennsylvania, much of New York State, northern into central New England, The areas with the highest chance of seeing shovelable/plowable snow will be  Appalachians, Poconos, Catskills, Adirondacks, Greens and Berkshires, the Whites will see some snow but not as much as the mountainous terrain of the other areas. The Tug Hill will also likely see some snow, but, Synoptic and lake effect snow amounts will depend on how much cold air we see and the exact track this nor’easter takes and how much it deepens.

 

2 comments:

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