The stalled frontal boundary has drifted north up across New York State and into New England today. The visible satellite image is showing Quite a bit of clouds south of the boundary with partly cloudy skies north and west of the boundary.
The boundary is separating The tropical air mass to the south From the continental airbase to the north
Because of that there will be a risk for isolated to widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms Some of these thunderstorms could Could be severe Strong to severe But I think the severe threat will be quite isolated. The storm prediction center has a large part of the region under a marginal risk for severe weather today.
I think SPC might be overestimating the extent of the severe weather today But we will see.
The frontal boundary is going to drift back down south and east And then set up once again Over southern Pennsylvania New Jersey And the rest of the northern middle Atlantic. The boundary will still be around for Saturday. With the threat for isolated To scattered thunderstorms and showers closer to the stalled frontal boundary everyone else should stay mainly dry for Saturday into Sunday. The front is going to be bouncing around quite a bit. So who sees what will depend on the position of the boundary at that time. So plan on the chance for scattered showers at times over the weekend.
On Sunday and Monday acold front will be dropped in out of Canada and the Great Lakes and slowly move across our region Sunday will see the risk for scattered showers and thunderstorms back over western Pennsylvania northwest Pennsylvania into New York State and northern and central New England Then as we head towards Monday and into Monday the risk for scattered showers and thunderstorms will shift into southern new England back down to southeast New York State, eastern Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware and New Jersey. As the cold front drops to the region We will have a chance for strong severe thunderstorms The main danger from the storms will be the possibility of straight line damaging winds from downburst, maybe some hail and there will be a greater risk of heavy downpours. For Tuesday and Wednesday we'll be under the influence of a trough hanging around the region This will bring the rain for ice this will bring a chance for isolating rain showers and maybe some thunderstorms. Then for Thursday into Friday we will have another cold front approaching and moving through.
Do you see a break in these disgustingly high dewpoints? It feels like Florida.
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately with this current pattern looking to extend through the summer We are going to see many fronts move through and get hung up over the region. So I expect to see more Hot and humid conditions intermixed with a cooler less humid conditions As we go through the summer So we'll have some breaks in the heat
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