Saturday, November 23, 2024

Our storm is starting to pull away

A look at snowfall totals from the National Weather Service

I added the inch amounts to the color amount chart


Today's charts





Behind the departing system, a trough is entering the region, allowing more cold to work into the region

Tonight into Sunday, lake effect (LE) will be possible. At first winds will be out of the northwest, LE rain will be possible across the lower elevations of southern Oswego and Onondaga Counties, with some accumulating LE snow in the hills south and southeast of Syracuse. Right now, accumulations look to be light, but there could be a few inches for tonight and Sunday. The higher elevations of the Tug Hill and Adirondacks could see a bit of snow as well.

Today is chilly and a blustery, we have lingering rain/snow showers over parts of the region.  Monday is looking to be mainly dry; temperatures should warm up ahead of the approaching cold front. Monday night and Tuesday will see the cold front come through, this front will be weak, so not a lot of precipitation is expected.

For Wednesday a bit of Lake effect snow will be likely downwind of Lake Erie and especially Lake Ontario, but most areas should be dry, so there shouldn’t be any travel issues.

As I said over the last couple of days, we have a system currently in the Rockies, that will move cross country, and impact parts of our region with rain and snow for late week. How things trend will decide who sees what. One main thing will depend on the timing of the cold air. The second things will be the track, If the storm takes a more northernly track, there could be accumulating snow and snow showers, with the southern tier of New York State and northern tier of Pennsylvania having the best shot at some accumulating snow, the rest of the northeast will end up with snow showers that could accumulate in the higher elevations.  Those across Southern Pennsylvania into parts of the northern Middle Atlantic would have a chance for a mix. Gusty winds could interfere with the balloons for the Macy’s Thanksgiving Parade and other cities that fly balloons. If the storm tracks farther south, the precipitation shield and winds would be farther south, but parts of Pennsylvania could still see some snow in the higher elevations. It’s too early to know exactly which scenario will occur.

Black Friday weather will depend on how fact the storm exits. The northern track means a longer lasting deration event, which would mean lingering rain/snow, and blustery winds for Black Friday shoppers.  The southern track, would mean greatly improved conditions for Black Friday shoppers.

Next weekend will depend on which scenario prevails.

 

 

3 comments:

  1. time to put out the driveway stakes for the snow plowing!

    ReplyDelete
  2. The mountain did get Snow but I would say at 1800 feet and although I thought it was snowing for much longer up there,I guess it was just thickly fogged in.

    ReplyDelete

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