Yesterday I made a post that went into a little bit of detail on the teleconnections and what they're hinting at as we move towards and beyond Christmas. So I hope you get a chance to look that over. My daily weather post will often build on or reflect on what I previously said. So at least for me it's important to keep up-to-date on what I've been posting!
The storm that brought that snow to the northern Middle Atlantic and I-95 corridor region is pulling away. Radar is showing that the snow is done across the Middle Atlantic in to much southern new England But there is some leftover residual snow that is falling across far south east England including the Cape and off-shore islands. The low will continue to track towards Atlantic Canada where it will be blowing up into a big storm. So the Canadian Maritimes will be dealing with a lot of snow and wind today and tomorrow
Behind the storm we're dealing with cold and breezy conditions across the region. Along with some lake effect flying downwind of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie.



These cold conditions will extend into tomorrow. As I said yesterday across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic it has been very cold with temperatures running well below average for this point in the winter. Starting late Monday high pressure will start nosing in but we will still be dealing with a few weak shortwave troughs, keeping things a bit unsettled, Wave lake effect also falling downwind of the Great Lakes those under thntense intense parts of the region of the snow band could see several inches of snow. Temperatures are going to start to slowly moderate for Tuesday. As the southeast ridge starts to expand northward. On Wednesday the high pressure will start to exit to the east. This will allow for strong southern flow to bring warmer air into the region.. For Wednesday and especially Thursday temperatures are going to become much warmer than they have been. But this won't be the blowtorch that i've seen some talking about. Instead temperatures are going to end up around seasonal to slightly above average for this point in the season. For Wednesday and Thursday temperatures will be warm enough for the vast majority of the region to see rain showers.
Starting midweek we are going to see a weak shortwave moving across the southern prairies of Canada. As this tracks eastward it is going to be strengthening, For later Thursday and Friday this is going to drag a cold front across our region allowing chillier air to move back in. With the front we will see rain change over to snow (Especially in the northern and higher elevational areas) as the cold air filters in. The lake effect machine will once again start to crank up downwind of the Great Lakes.
Over the next 7-10 days The region is going to be warmer than it has been. The jet stream Is going to be just to our south or just to our north meandering another back and forth,. So because of this, we're going to see about some warmer temperatures intermix with some cool downs. Those who have limited to a moderate snow pack will be at a higher risk of losing their snow before Christmas. I covered my thoughts on all of this yesterday; so again I encourage you all to read it!
Here is a look at the CPC's 8-14 day temperature outlook. Showing what their thoughts are During the next couple of weeks. They were showing a lot more warmth but now they've adjusted to a cooler look.
I can’t look again.Two apps have Wednesday night with .46” of rain and Thursday with .44” rain.TyThis area is possessed as far as Winter Weather so We Will see that rain,no question.This past week the total for snow was 13.” 2” day,then 2”that night.Then and inch then 3” another inch at night and so on.The temps were cold.Then a 42 day,a 44 day and a 41 day with some snow later Now we have a 48 with 45 at night with 54 during the day,freezing rain and then rain.That leaves 5 days for a CHRISTmas Eve with the light Snow to walk in and do the CHristmas Walk with stops for Caroling at certain places.Then theCHRISTmas Day walk in some light snow.For some.reason the snow always happened,even when it was not supposed to.We knew the warmth was coming but we. hoped.Lucky we have Dessert competition CHRISTmas EVE,,and cookie/ fudge for the day.Food coma🙂
ReplyDeleteWhatever will be will be, it would be great to have snow for Xmas but it’s been a good start to the season so far
ReplyDeleteat least there was some good accumulation