The showers linger into today.

 Here’s a look at the surface chart and radar image.

 The cold front along with the area of low pressure that was moving along it, are now up over New England and off the coast. The strong upper-level feature is still hanging around. This will keep today a little unsettled.

But the day will Slowly improve as the upper-level feature continues to drift south and east, allowing the weather to turn nicer west to east! Eastern New York state into New England will be dealing with mostly overcast skies for much of the day, but later in the day, some of the clouds should give way allowing for a few breaks of sun here and there. Some lingering sprinkles or very light showers are possible but should be very limited.

For the Weekend

With the upper level low to the east, the weekend isn’t looking too bad overall, as high pressure will end up settling over New England as we head into the weekend. We are going to see a building large ridge in the Southeast US, as this works in our direction, there will be much warmer conditions for both Saturday and Sunday.

On I/R satellite, we can see all of those clear skies just to our west. All of this will be influencing our weather over the weekend.  Saturday will start out dry. But a weak frontal system will be approaching. As the high pressure starts to push away, we will be dealing with a west to southwest flow. The front looks to move through fairly quickly. So, other than isolated to spotty rain showers Saturday and Sunday shouldn’t be too bad.   As the front gets closer during Saturday afternoon. very isolated showers will move into western New York State into western Pennsylvania.  This will slowly move across New York State and Pennsylvania late in the day, then move into the Middle Atlantic and New England Saturday night into Sunday morning.  Many people might not see any rain over the weekend, due to its spotty nature.  Both Saturday and Sunday will be breezy, warm conditions.

We should stay mainly dry into Monday with continued warmer temperatures; Then starting Monday night, Tuesday into Wednesday night we will be watching a cold front approach and move through. Temperatures ahead of the front will become downright hot, with higher amounts of humidity making it first appearance this season. With the heat and humidity, we will have rain and thunderstorms, some of these storms will be strong to severe. With the main danger being damaging winds and hail. But heavy downpours and frequent lightning will also be a concern. The tornado risk is looking low, but as aways it won’t be zero.   Behind the front some cooling will return for later next week.

Over the next few days, we’re not going to see a lot of rain

Looking at the US Drought Monitor released yesterday; we can see a large part of New England into the Mid-Atlantic remains in need of rainfall. 

 

Rainfall patterns across our region were very uneven, Across the northern and western areas saw much more rain than the rest of the region, with much of the rain concentrated across Western New York, Northwestern Pennsylvania, and much of Maine. The map shows Moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought, along with abnormal dryness (D0) were improved in in these areas. On the contrary, rainfall totals were much less across southern portions of the region, on the map Severe (D2) drought was expanded in northern Massachusetts, Delaware, and southern portions of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, while moderate (D1) drought was expanded in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut and southern Pennsylvania this week.

The U.S. Drought Monitor released on May 14 showed 21% of the Northeast in severe drought, 21% in moderate drought, and 18% as abnormally dry compared to 19%, 23%, and 21%, respectively, last week.

With the lack of rain, these drought conditions are likely to worsen and expand