March 2nd, 2025

 

A quick look at the week ahead

Today is cold and breezy, behind the clipper that brought rain a little mix and snow to northern areas, places like the Tug Hill, Adirondacks, Greens and Whites have a general 3-6 inches with local amounts of 6-10 inches. The northwest breeze is making for frigid wind chills. We do have some lake effect southeast of Lake Ontario, as the winds become more northernly the lake bands will shift south of Lake Ontario.

Our next storm is moving ashore on the West Coast, this is going to track into south central Plains, with heavy snow north and west of the track, then it will head toward the Central Great Lakes heading into southeastern Canada. Starting Tuesday is going to be the start of a major severe outbreak for the south, this will head east for Wednesday into Thursday. But for us the storm is going to pull moisture from the Gulf of America and Atlantic northward into our region.

Tomorrow we’re going to start to warm up ahead of a warm front; the warm front will roll through for Tuesday into Wednesday. Thursday will continue the warm up, then the cold front will approach and move through leading to a cool down.

 By Tuesday We’re really going to warm up, with the warmth will come a lot of snow melt. For northern areas, the leading edge of the warm front could start as a bit of snow, before a change over to rain. With the fronts we’re going to see widespread rain for our region midweek, rain could be heavy at times. Many of us will see a general 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible. Thunderstorms are possible for eastern Pennsylvania into Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey into southern New England. Isolated strong to severe cells are possible for Maryland and Delaware.

The snowpack over a large part of New York State and into parts of northern into central New England, has 5 to 10 inches of water locked up; places that have a deep snowpack, have over 12 inches of water equivalence, so flooding is possibly going to become an issue, first for the streams and then into the rivers. Besides this, ice jam flooding could become a problem. Wednesday through Friday is going to be windy, with cooler seasonable temperatures and mainly drier weather behind the system, but there will be some lake effect falling downwind of the Big Lake.