March 14th, 2025.

 

Who saw the total lunar eclipse?

The surface chart shows, high pressure is in control with our developing storm in the central CONUS. This is going to lead to a big severe outbreak for the Mississippi Valley, eastward into the Lower Ohio and Tennessee Valleys later this afternoon into Saturday morning. For our region, satellite and radar show we have plenty of sunshine and dry conditions across the region.   Ahead of the western system, southwest winds will be driving mild temperatures today.  Tonight is going to stay mild and dry.

Saturday is going to see that western storm slowly approaches the Great Lakes. Temperatures are going to continue to climb. Clouds will be increasing as a warm front lift into the region.  As the warm front advances, southwest Pennsylvania, should see isolated showers develop late morning to early afternoon.  As the warm front move through, the isolated rain showers will advance with it across the region.  The southern flow is going to increase on Saturday, so winds will be getting gusty.  Thunderstorms will be approaching western parts of the region, some of these could be strong across western Pennsylvania and western New York State.

Saturday night and through Sunday the strong cold front will approach and move through. Rain across the region will move west to east and become steady and widespread. Winds will also become very gusty, with winds of 20 – 30 mph with gusty of 40-50 mph possible. Northern areas could see some embedded thunderstorms, the rest of the region will have a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms, this will be especially true for Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware into New Jersey.  Sunday is going to be even milder than Saturday, general rainfall amounts of 0.50 to 1.0 inches can be expected, with those who see stronger thunderstorms having a chance for higher amounts.  Winds will be the main danger with these thunderstorms, but hail and even an isolated tornado is possible.

Monday morning the rain will be over New England and pushing east. Rain should be pushing offshore during the afternoon.  High pressure will move into the region, with temperatures turning back to seasonal cool. The high pressure will stay overhead for Tuesday and Wednesday, temperatures will be quite mild as well.   Thursday another cold front will approach, bringing widespread rain, windy conditions and some thunderstorms, ahead of the front temperatures will become very mild.  For Friday into Saturday colder air will be moving in, rain will be changing over to snow west to east across part of Pennsylvania, New York State and central and northern New England, some accumulation is likely especially for the higher elevations.

 

The region is still experiencing drought, so the rain is welcome! 

Areas with a deep snowpack will have to keep an eye on streams and rivers, flooding and ice jam flooding will be a big concern over the weekend!