March 5th, 2025.

 

The chance for severe weather returns.

Strong Low Pressure heading into the Great Lakes, is pushing a warm front through the Northeast. Today is going to be quite mild and very breezy. We have a few snow showers up over Maine. But this will change over to all rain. We’re going to see widespread rain today, with the rain being moderate to heavy at times, general rain amounts of 0.50-1.50 inches with pockets of lower and higher amounts possible. This combined with snow melt will lead to the risk for flooding, here is a look at the warnings and advisories from “Pivotal Weather”, the areas in dark green show a Flood Watch and are most at risk for flooding, this will be especially true for poor drainage areas. There is also the risk for ice jams across parts of the region, so keep an eye on those streams and rivers.  

There will be the risk for strong to severe thunderstorms. The winds aloft are very strong, there is a chance for these to mix down to the surface this afternoon and evening. We have a risk for thunderstorms, the SPC has a Slight Risk for severe weather over a large part of Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and southern New Jersey, With a Marginal Risk up into Western New York State, Northeast Pennsylvania, and much of the rest of New Jersey. With the strong winds aloft, thunderstorms will be capable of taping into that, leading to the risk for damaging wind gust upwards of 55 to 60 mph. Besides the wind threat, there is also a risk for hail and perhaps isolated tornadoes.

The cold front will move through Tomorrow, with the front we will be dealing with very gusty winds, Gust of 30 to 50 mph will be possible.  Tomorrow will continue to be very mild, with the cold air behind the front delayed a little. But temperatures will be falling, we’re going to see rain showers change over to flurries/ light snow showers and some mix during the day on Thursday into Friday morning; along with some lake effect snow off of Lake Ontario. Most will see little to no accumulations, but 1 to 3 inches of snow will be possible across parts of Pennsylvania, New York State and New England, the Tug Hill, Adirondacks, Greens and Whites could see 3-6 inches of snow.

Friday will still be windy as the storm departs allowing high pressure to build in, providing more in the way of sun, despite the sun, Friday and the weekend will be quite chilly, with temperatures becoming seasonal, those downwind of Lake Ontario, will be dealing with lake effect snow. Saturday a weak system, will bring the chance for isolated rain showers for southern areas, and some snow showers over northern areas, it will still be windy. Sunday is looking to be seasonally cool but generally dry along with lessening wind. Monday a clipper will move through bringing southern rain showers and northern snow showers.  Behind the clipper, high pressure builds in for Tuesday. The high pressure looks stay overhead for Wednesday, by midweek, temperatures will become very mild once again.