March 3rd, 2025.

 

High pressure is overhead, providing sunshine and warming temperatures. Our next weather maker, is in the Plains; this will strengthen and head for the Great Lakes. The leading warm front, will ensure this warming trend continues for most of the week ahead.  Temperatures for Tuesday through Thursday will be above average for this time of year.

Tuesday will be warmer yet, as the warm front approaches and moves through, the southwest flow, will mean Wednesday and Thursday will be very mild. For Tuesday night into Wednesday, those closer to the Canadian border will be cold enough for a chance for a mix and some snow, 1-3 inches of snow on the onset, but as temperatures warm this will change to rain.  Wednesday into Thursday will be very wet with widespread rain, that will be heavy at times. Embedded thunderstorms will be possible, this will be especially true for eastern Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware into southern New Jersey.  Some of these could be strong to severe, especially for Philadelphia and points south across Maryland, Delaware, into far southern New Jersey.

The Storm Prediction Center has a Slight Risk for Severe weather in these areas. Wednesday and Thursday will be quite winding with gust of 30-45 mph possible.

General rainfall amounts of 0.50 to an inch are likely for many, but there will be pockets of places that see less than 0.50 inches and places that see 1-2 inches of rain.

Behind the cold front temperatures will quickly fall, allowing the northern half of the region to change over to some snow. The system with the cold front will be pushing away on Thursday, with clearing developing west to east, those in New England should see things winding down Thursday afternoon.

With the rain and mild temperatures there is the risk for flooding and ice jams.

Friday into the weekend will be colder. Friday looks to be quiet and blustery. But over the weekend a clipper with a series of troughs will work through, proving the risk for northern snow showers and rain showers in southern parts of the region. Sunday will temporarily see high pressure build in, then more shortwave troughs move through for Monday into Tuesday.

  

I was asked about my opinion on the firings at the NWS and NOAA

As many of you are aware, hundreds of weather forecasters and other federal employees at the National Weather Service and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) were fired last week, by President Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency.

I don’t know which jobs were eliminated, but I guess some of the jobs involved at least probationary employees. As is the case with most jobs, when people graduate from atmospheric science schools, they still require on the job training.  So, with the younger Mets still learning a lot from the senior Mets, there could be ramifications down the road.

These agencies incorporate a multitude of forecasting and weather-related jobs and functions, including the Storm Prediction Center, the Hurricane Center, and 122 local weather forecast offices, that provide crucial weather data for the local meteorologists on TV, radio and even on social media. How this will impact severe weather alerts, such as tornado warnings and tornado watches as well as the upcoming hurricane season, remain to be seen, but I very well expect to see problems. These kinds of problems put people’s lives in danger.

Please refrain from a lot of political bickering.