11/17/2025

 Chilly with a few rain, snow showers. Along with some lake effect falling downwind of the lakes

I hope all y'all read the post and the pattern I put up yesterday. It goes into some detail explaining the pattern over the next 4-6 weeks. But the post highlights the need for the boys and girls to buckle up their seat belts and prepare for an interesting ride.

Here's a look of the surface chart and radar along with infrared satellite.

The low pressure that went through yesterday is sitting near Maine and heading towards Nova Scotia. We also have high pressure approaching from the west. In between these two features, we have several troughs that are moving across the region. Between the low pressure and the high pressure we do have a fairly tight pressure gradient. This is causing gusty west-northwest winds across the region. Winds over Maine into New Hampshire could gust to 30-45 miles an hour with some higher gust possible. Those further south and west could see winds gust upwards of 35 miles an hour.

There is lingering snow behind the departing system with  generally a dusting to a inch or so is possible across northern New England, this morning into the early afternoon. with the snow lingering in the higher elevations into tomorrow morning. The higher summits of the Adirondacks, Greens into the Whites could see another 4-8 plus inches of snow through tonight. Parts of the Poconos and Catskills could also pick up a dusting to close to an inch. We can also see the wind moving over Lake Erie and Lake Ontario is kicking off lake effect snow showers. Most of the areas over New York State into Pennsylvania that are seeing snow could pick up another dusting to an inch or so today. But those under the more persistent and heavier bands could see 3-8 inches of additional accumulation into tomorrow morning. Tomorrow winds will be a bit lighter but they will still be gusty. The lake effect is going to continue through tomorrow morning but as we get closer to noon time into the early afternoon the lake effect should be dwindling and dying out.

For Wednesday and Thursday Temperature temperatures will be turning milder. On the I/R satellite we can see that  disturbance out over the Rockies exiting into the Plains. This will be working our way and move to the south towards the Delmarvia Peninsula for Tuesday overnight into Wednesday morning. New York state  and new England should remain mostly dry For Wednesday But over  Pennsylvania into the northern Middle Atlantic And perhaps for New York City and Long Island there could be a few  rain showers. This will be a fast moving system So rainfall accumulation shouldn't be too high. Temperatures will be moderately supportive for some sleet/snow. But any snow will likely be mixing in with rain. There could be a little  accumulation over the higher elevations of northwest New Jersey into the Poconos and Catskills. The system should be pulling away during early afternoon into mid afternoon, leading to improving conditions.

Thursday we'll see a weak shortwave move through. There could be a few very isolated showers. But the vast majority of us should stay dry. Friday we will be having a system approach with a leading warm front that will lift through the region. Then we will have a trailing cold front move through. For most of us this will be rain But the higher elevations across northern New York State into northern New England could end up with a mix of sleet, freezing rain and snow.  The cold front looks to stall close to the Mason Dixon line on Saturday. So  on Saturday other than a chance for a few showers over southern Pennsylvania with a better chance for isolated to scattered showers over Maryland and Delaware. The rest of the region should stay dry. Across the entire region Saturday will be chilly. For Sunday High pressure will be approaching and setting up. Temperatures will remain seasonally chilly. Outside of a chance for a few snow showers up over northern Maine The region should remain dry for Sunday. The high pressure looks to stay overhead for Monday providing chilly but tranquil conditions across the region.