We’re not done with frosts and freezes just yet!

The first weekend of May, was quite cool. But we will see a warmup for Today and even more so for tomorrow. But it won’t last as the chill will return later this week behind a cold front.

The Surface Chart and Radar.

The Surface chart shows high pressure to the east is still influencing our weather, with the warm front having lifted through the region. This is allowing for a southwest flow that is bringing in much milder temperatures. But we can also see low pressure north of the Great Lakes with that cold front that will approach us on Tuesday. The rain showers with the warm front have pushed through New York State and are now over northern New England.

Today will see winds become gusty

For Tuesday the morning into the afternoon should be dry, but then as the slow-moving cold front begins to move across western parts of our region, isolated showers will move in ahead of the front. These showers will become more widespread Tuesday evening and Tuesday night. With enough sunshine earlier in the day, we will likely see some afternoon and evening thunderstorms, as the cold front continues to ever so slowly push east into the warm airmass. A few of these thunderstorms could be on the strong side.  Ahead of the cold front winds are going to be gusty with gusts from the southwest 30 to 35 mph,

 Satellite 

Regional satellite shows a lot of sun and tranquil conditions moving in from the west, this will be with us into tomorrow. But the I/R shows the conditions that will be with us later tomorrow and the rest of the week.

Behind the cold front the region is going to see another significant cool down for the several days.  

Wednesday and beyond

 

On Wednesday this cold front is going to slowly push through, along with these waves of showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday is also going to start to cool back off, but it will still be relatively warm along with increasing cloudiness and rain showers.  

General rainfall of 1-2″ is likely, with amounts upwards of around 2.5" -3” for some will be possible with the passage of the front.

This slow-moving frontal boundary will have a few waves of energy moving along it for Wednesday and Thursday. Keeping things unsettled. No day will be a wash out...but expect there to be period of showers. Then On Thursday another cold front will roll through bringing the risk for some rain showers and perhaps gusty thunderstorms This is going to reenforce the cooler air already in place through Mother's Day weekend. Friday we will be under the influence of a trough that will be digging back in. keeping things unsettled During this time high elevational mix/snow showers will be possible over New York State and northern into central New England. The trough will be hanging around for Saturday into Sunday along with the chance for a few rain showers. Later this week and through the weekend, the cooler areas around the northern Great Lakes, northern and central New York State and interior New England will have to be leery of the chance for frost and freezes.

This same general pattern looks to be with us again next week. With a brief warmup beginning the week followed by another cooldown for the second half of next week.

 I hope all y’all have read my long-range ideas I posted Friday and Sunday.