04/26/2024

 

  Here is a quick run-down on how this week looks to unfold.  

I want to thank those of y'all who follow my post here, You're the reason I'm continuing to post these weather outlooks and seasonal forecast here on the WX forecast blog. I appreciate you more than you possibly know. As you know, I am a degreed actual meteorologist and I do enjoy weather and all the stuff it brings about, you can call me a weather nerd as far as all of this goes. I've done extensive severe weather and tornado storm chasing including being at landfall of a few hurricanes, in the past. I've I've taken all of this knowledge and experience and tried to turn it into a Site where I can provide accurate and educational meaningful weather information for all  y'all. As many of y'all also know I have several horses that I have to maintain and take care of along with a ranch that requires work to keep it running. I also have a small business with a few clients that I run. In addition to all of this I have a son and family that requires my attention; so finding time to do this weather stuff is difficult to say the least. Again as many of you know I left Facebook due to personal reasons between me and Facebook I've explained the reasons for this and I will not go into them again;  but when I was on facebook I had 8-10,000 followers and hundreds and sometimes thousands of views on my weather post. Now that I am posting only on my blog website my views have fallen to less than 100 every day, sometimes It's only a handful of views. To make these weather post I take a couple hours each day to look over the data and the pattern and try to come up with a forecast that you can trust. But it is hard to justify the time I spend on this when I have to pull that time from other things that probably need my time more. So for this reason I really need you helping to spread the word and share my post and what I'm doing with your followers and friends and bring them over to the blog site. Your help is really needed if you want to keep these weather post I do available.

Anyway let's go back to talking about the weather.

Today has been gloomy, coolish and damp, as a system moves through the region we will run the risk for widespread showers and thunderstorms. ahead of the cold front with tapering to scattered showers behind the system. Lingering rain could last into Sunday morning. I can't completely rule out a few higher elevation snow showers across parts of New York state and northern and central new England tonight into Sunday. Sunday Will feature Tomorrow will feature clearing skies west to east but it will remain breezy and cool. Maine will likely be dealing with showers through most of tomorrow as it will take the low pressure until Sunday night to exit the Coast.

We have a system moving onto the west coast today that is going to impact our weather for Tuesday and Wednesday. This system will move out of the Rockies and into the Plains tomorrow causing rain and some severe weather. The system is going to be pulling up a lot of southern and golf moisture and warmth out ahead of it Setting the stage for bigger severe event as we Head towards Monday.

The warm unstable air mass over the Midwest and Great Lakes along with a jet streak over the same area; means, Monday is going to be a big severe weather day for the Upper Midwest and Midwest Including the possibility of significant long track tornadoes.

 For the Northeast and Middle Atlantic Monday is looking to be seasonally warm, sunny and dry. 

The severe threat for Tuesday will shift east into Northwest New England, a large part of Upstate New York down through western and central Pennsylvania, As the cold front responsible for Monday's severe outbreak to the west drops into the northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Out ahead of the system a warm front will slide through our region bringing very warm temperatures and gusty winds for Tuesday. As the trailing cold front approaches it should be weakening, but we can expect rain showers and scattered thunderstorms. Some of these storms will likely be strong to severe. How widespread the severe weather is remains to be seen.Right now those with the greatest risk of seeing any severe storms will be across central New York down into northern and northwestern Pennsylvania. The greatest time for the severe weather possibility will be Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. Right now, the risk looks to be primarily for the possibility of damaging winds and hail but a few isolated tornadoes can't completely be ruled out. I will know more as we get closer. I just wanted to give you a heads-up. Some of this could continue into the predawn hours Of Wednesday. 

Right now, Wednesday is looking to be a breezy dry day with sunshine and cool temperatures. Thursday will start out sunny with temperatures becoming milder. As the day  goes on clouds will be increasing.  On Friday we'll start out dry; but a frontal system will be approaching that will bring a chance for rain and thunderstorms as the day goes on.