04/19/2025

 

We're under the influence of strong  high pressure off the Southeast Coast that is pumping that southeast ridge bringing us this mild weather we've been experiencing the last couple of days. Looking at the surface chart, we have Yesterday's warm front attached to low pressure in Canada has pushed north of the region. Along with this, the high pressure that was anchored over the region  has pushed east. This is allowing another cold front to approach from the west, out ahead of this front we have a southern flow with gusty winds bringing very mild temperatures along with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Some of these thunderstorms could be on the strong to severe side, with damaging winds and hail being the largest threat. The storm prediction center (SPC) has a Marginal  Risk for severe weather across most of Pennsylvania northeast New Jersey, New York State into western New England. 

This cold front extends all the way Through Texas into New Mexico. There is an area of low pressure on this front that will move north and east towards the Great Lakes tomorrow into Monday, weakening  as it gets into Canada Bing as it moves into Canada. As this cold front pushes east It is going to end up stalling tomorrow. Behind the front Winds will veer to the northwest and we will markedly cool off For Easter Sunday. An area of high pressure overhead Will ensure plenty of sunny skies. This area of high pressure will be short lived as it starts to slide east ahead of another frontal system approaching for Sunday night into Tuesday. The warm front will lift through on Monday, ahead of the front We will see increasing clouds along with a chance for isolated rain showers Winds will become more southerly allowing our temperatures to warm. The trailing cold front Will move through on Tuesday Bringing scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms Behind the front we will cool off for Wednesday As high pressure once again sets up overhead.

The high pressure will push east as a yet another cold front comes through for Thursday bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the region. Then high pressure will set up overhead On Friday. Then a cold front will slide through on Saturday bringing more scattered rain showers and thunderstorms.

Looking at the medium to long range.

Last week I posted On my general thoughts on the summer pattern if you haven't read that I strongly suggest that you do.

We've been stuck in this current pattern for the last several weeks. But that is nothing new during  spring time, as we get patterns that get hung up during this time of year. We've been seeing shots of cold mixed in with a few days of warmth along with bouts of rain and thunderstorms. 

Unfortunately When looking at our overall pattern over the northern hemisphere; we see these systems continuing To rotate around. So we're going to continue to see these bowling ball low pressure systems to keep rolling through across the CONUS, keeping things active along with this stormy weather pattern. The Rockies will continue to see chances for snowstorms, The volatile pattern will also continue to bring the rest for severe weather outbreaks Including the chance for some severe tornado outbreaks as we move forward. For our region here in the northeast and northern mid Atlantic, Seesaw pattern to continue, as We continue to see these troughs and ridges continue to slide through. While the threat for Deep accumulating snow Is over; I still can't completely rule out a chance for a bit of snow in the higher elevations of the Adirondacks Greens and White mountains as we had towards May.