05/27/2025

 In spite of the cool and rainy conditions; I hope everyone had a nice Memorial Day weekend.

Over the last 3 months the region has seen a lot of rain.  For the month of May, the vast majority of Y'all have seen a rainfall surplus. But believe it or not, there are a few areas across  northern New York State and Maine that have a  rainfall deficit. In fact  over the last 3 months just about every weekend has seen at least some measurable rain.  

While all the rain has been good for the areas experiencing abnormal dryness and drought conditions; it hasn't been so good for yard work, construction projects and planting of crops.

Yesterday was a little warmer than it was over Saturday and Sunday and the rain was quite isolated So it wasn't too bad.Today we still have high pressure influencing us for. So,  temperatures will be a bit warmer than they were yesterday. We will see clouds increase during the day; but the the good news is most of us will stay completely dry; but I can't rule out a chance for widely isolated light rain showers. 

The high pressure overhead is going to start to push away. This will continue for Wednesday. During the second half of the week we're gonna be dealing with a couple areas of low pressure that will bring rain showers and thunderstorms. 

Looking back at the surface chart we can see low pressure approaching from the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. An upper level low in the northern Plains heading towards the Great Lakes is going to force this area of low pressure to move across our region. The visible satellite shows clouds moving into the region from southwest to northeast. Ahead of all this rain showers will be possible across southwestern Pennsylvania tonight into Wednesday. With the rain, a warm front will lift through on Wednesday, bringing even warmer temperatures across the region. The low pressure will move out of the Great Lakes on Wednesday and Thursday. At the same time, we will see rain moving from southwest to northeast across the region during the overnight and Wednesday, rain looks To move into Maryland Delaware and southern New Jersey during overnight Then it looks to reach  Northeast Pennsylvania Wednesday early to mid morning, Followed by New York cCty. The rain moves into central New York Wednesday afternoon. Rain looks to reach eastern New York state and southwest New England late in the day before sunset . At this point the warm front is going to get hung up and stall out, before continuing to push north and east across New England on Thursday.Rain will likely approach eastern New England Thursday afternoon, then reach Maine  by Thursday evening. 

A cold front is going to be lifting into the region on Thursday this will continue to slide into the region on Friday as it weakens. The front is going to stall out with low pressure developing over Virginia; this will move along the front later Friday into Saturday. This is going to bring widespread rainfall and some thunderstorms to the region, some could be strong to severe.The low pressure will be moving over New England into the Gulf of Maine on Saturday afternoon/evening. On Sunday the low pressure will be pulling into Canada with rain ending  south to north Saturday night into Sunday. During Sunday, southern parts of the region should be mostly dry but the northern parts of New York State and northern into central New England will likely see the rain continue in a more isolated nature for Sunday. High pressure will set up shop on Monday, with only a slight chance for a few very isolated showers. Tuesday is looking to see the high pressure still overhead Providing plenty of sunshine dry conditions

As I've been saying we are gonna warm up But then as we get into the coming weekend and  the 1st week of June We are going to cool back off again averaging well below average. But this really cool air isn't going to last all that long. We're gonna see a pattern flip to where we get a deep trough out west and a predominant Southeast ridge pushing warmer temperatures into our region the end of the 1st week into the second week of June. The storm track is also going to shift north. So, this could increase severe weather risk across the Northeast especially over northern parts of our region. During the 2nd  week of June it should feel like Summer.