09/22/2025

 Welcome to the fall equinox. Astronomical fall will begin this afternoon at 2:19PM.

The surface chart shows high pressure Is starting To slip east but it is still in control of our weather. To our west We have a slow moving trough along with a cold front. Ahead of the approaching front we have a few rain showers over western New York State into north western Pennsylvania. As day goes on The showers will become more Widespread and scattered as they move east into central New York State and Pennsylvania. During the afternoon into this evening There will be a chance for thunderstorms to develop. Winds will become breezy during the afternoon, as a southern flow directs warmer and more humid air Into our region. Some of the storms this afternoon and evening could be strong to severe. With the main risks being strong gusty winds and some hail. These storms will be slow moving and some of the cells could produce heavy rainfall Which could lead to some localized flooding.

The showers and storms will continue to push east Tonight and overnight and should make it into eastern New York State and the Hudson Valley by tomorrow afternoon. Find moving into western New England along with Eastern Maryland, Delaware and New Jersey during tomorrow afternoon. The scattered to isolated showers will push into eastern New England later tomorrow afternoon and evening. 

We're going to be under the influence Of this slow moving trough For Tuesday Through Thursday. We're also going to have a frontal boundary setup with an area of low pressure that will be moving along it. All of this will keep the weather unsettled Was scattered showers and thunderstorms. The thunderstorms will specially be around for Thursday. Some of the storms on Thursday could be strong to severe with strong gusty winds, hail and heavy downpours. And Friday as the cold front continues to push east, The mid Atlantic and new England will be dealing Dealing with lingering showers and perhaps even some thunderstorms For friday morning into the afternoon.  During the afternoon into the early evening. Cooler air will move into the region behind this cold front.  The cold front will have finally slipped to the east and then stall off the coast. We will have low pressure moving along this frontal boundary that could kick off a few showers across the northern Middle Atlantic into New England on Saturday. Then for Sunday  another cold front will approach and move through the region bringing the chance for widespread scattered rain showers. Then for Monday high pressure will be once again in complete control of our weather.

Tropical Atlantic

Image credit Tomer Burg

Image credit Tomer Burg

Gabrielle underwent some rapid intensification and now has max sustained winds of 120 mph, central pressure of 955mb, moving North at 10 mph. She is the 7th named storm and the 2nd major hurricane of the season. She still looks to pass well to the east of Bermuda. She will likely continue to track north for around the next 12 to 18 hours, before she starts to make a turn to the north and east and head out into the open north Atlantic.  There is a chance that she could intensify some more over the next 24 hours. Before she moves into the colder waters of the north Atlantic and gradually starts to weaken. As she heads towards the Azores.

She is going to kick up heavy surf and swell along with dangerous rip currents along East Coast And Atlantic Canada.So keep that in mind if you're gonna be around  or on the water.

The two waves behind Gabrielle

The one with the red x is now invest 93L and has a 70% chance of developing. 93L looks to take a similar track to Gabrielle. This would mean that Bermuda will have to keep a close eye  on this.

The other Has been dubbed Invest 94L and has an orange 30% chance of developing over the next 7 days. Right now I-94L Looks To stay north and east Of the Caribbean islands, But that is no Sure thing. It could pass close to the Bahamas So those who have interest there should keep an eye on 94L. 94L  could pass close to or even impact the East Coast of the United States and or Atlantic Canada.